Śląsk Wrocław vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.90
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
77% (245/318)83% (342/413)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.33
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2124
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
187
Passes
77% (245/318)83% (342/413)
Long passes
35% (20/57)42% (13/31)
Passes in final third
65% (79/121)71% (85/119)
Crosses
20% (2/10)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.63
Fouls
718
Tackles
57% (12/21)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5245
Clearances Total
3016
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.331.47
Goals prevented
0.330.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. , Samiec-Talar P. (A),
  • 45+2', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Simon C. , Scalet M. ,
  • 59', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 62', Samiec-Talar P. , Ince B. ,
  • 69', Krol M. , Ndiaye M. J. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Ndiaye M. J. ,
  • 79', Samper S. 🟨,
  • 81', Pozo J. , Jasper S. ,
  • 81', Al Hamlawi A. , Udahl H. ,
  • 85', Van Hoeven B. , Ceglarz P. ,
  • 85', Wojcik F. , Stolarski P. ,
  • 90+5', Matsenko Y. , Rygiel S. ,
  • 90+6', Szota S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
52.9%
Draw
24.9%
Motor Lublin
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.6% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 26.9% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.
  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Śląsk Wrocław that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.02)
    3.76
    (3.53)
    4.18
    (3.49)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 50%). Motor (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
    • Recent matches Śląsk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Motor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Śląsk will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Gerstenstein L. (Injury) Paluszek A. (Ankle Injury) Petkov A. (Yellow Cards) Pokorny P. (Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury) Zukowski M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Motor: Brkic I. (Knee Injury) Kruk K. (Knee Injury) Tratnik G. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław 2:1
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1