Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (245/318) | 83% (342/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (245/318) | 83% (342/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 42% (13/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/121) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.63 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
- 45+2', Guercio T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Simon C. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 59', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 62', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
- 69', Krol M. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Ndiaye M. J. ⚽,
- 79', Samper S. 🟨,
- 81', Pozo J. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
- 81', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
- 85', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
- 85', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
- 90+5', Matsenko Y. ↓, Rygiel S. ↑,
- 90+6', Szota S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Śląsk Wrocław
52.9% | Draw
24.9% | Motor Lublin
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Śląsk Wrocław that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.02) |
3.76 ↑
(3.53) |
4.18 ↑
(3.49) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 50%). Motor (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Śląsk Wrocław will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
- Recent matches Śląsk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Motor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Śląsk will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M.
(Knee Injury)
Gerstenstein L.
(Injury)
Paluszek A.
(Ankle Injury)
Petkov A.
(Yellow Cards)
Pokorny P.
(Injury)
Swierczok J.
(Knee Injury)
Zukowski M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Motor: Brkic I.
(Knee Injury)
Kruk K.
(Knee Injury)
Tratnik G.
(Inactive)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Śląsk Wrocław won against Motor Lublin?
Śląsk Wrocław has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Śląsk Wrocław?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin were as follows:
28.09.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Śląsk Wrocław
2:1
Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
