Result
3:2
17/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (244/326) | 79% (326/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (244/326) | 79% (326/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/52) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (103/144) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', Luberecki F. 🟨,
- 23', Brkic I. ↓, Tratnik G. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 0, Markovic E. ⚽,
- 27', Klemenz L. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A),
- 34', Ede B. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 1, Nowak B. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),
- 44', Stolarski P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 3 - 1, Markovic E. ⚽, Wasielewski M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 46', Ede B. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 2, Wolski B. ⚽,
- 58', Jirka E. ↓, Galan B. ↑,
- 67', Shkurin I. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
- 73', van Hoeven B. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
- 80', Czubak K. 🟨,
- 81', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 86', Czerwinski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 87', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 90', Kudla D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Czubak K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
46.7% | Draw
26% | Motor Lublin
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.99) |
3.57 ↑
(3.23) |
3.41 ↑
(3.14) |
7.3%
(13.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Motor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2.
- GKS Katowice has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- GKS Katowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, GKS Katowice has had a series of away games.
- GKS Katowice might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Kowalczyk M.
(Injury)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
Rejczyk F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Klemenz L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Motor Lublin?
GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against GKS Katowice?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin were as follows:
17.10.2025
Motor Lublin
-
GKS Katowice
2:5
24.02.2025
Motor Lublin
-
GKS Katowice
3:2
16.08.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Motor Lublin
0:0
19.02.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Motor Lublin
2:0
06.08.2023
Motor Lublin
-
GKS Katowice
1:1
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
