Alhaurino vs Motril – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Alhaurino
12.3%
Draw
25.3%
Motril
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 27.2% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 27% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alhaurino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alhaurino's form might have worsened.
  • Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motril's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alhaurino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motril, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alhaurino - Motril Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.09
    (3.71)
    3.93
    (3.3)
    1.6
    (1.85)
    0.5%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Alhaurino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motril is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Motril is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alhaurino - Motril were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Motril - Alhaurino 2:0
    Latest results of Alhaurino
    08.03.2026 Alhaurino - Torredonjimeno 1:1
    04.03.2026 Alhaurino - Melilla B 1:1
    28.02.2026 Granada B - Alhaurino 3:1
    22.02.2026 Alhaurino - Huétor Vega 1:2
    15.02.2026 Huétor Tájar - Alhaurino 0:2
    Latest results of Motril
    08.03.2026 Motril - Mancha Real 3:1
    01.03.2026 Torredonjimeno - Motril 1:3
    22.02.2026 Motril - Arenas Armilla 1:1
    15.02.2026 Granada B - Motril 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril27159346:222454
    2Mijas Las Lagunas27156631:171451
    3Arenas Armilla26147532:171549
    4Torre del Mar26129532:211145
    5Churriana de la Vega27127824:28-443
    6Marbelli26117829:22740
    7Torredonjimeno271010732:31140
    8Huetor Vega271071032:32037
    9Atletico de Porcuna261131231:26536
    10Granada CF B27811834:33135
    11UD San Pedro26871126:31-531
    12Melilla B26791019:22-330
    13CD Alhaurino27791130:36-630
    14Martos27791128:34-630
    15Huetor Tajar27781232:36-429
    16Mancha26761321:30-927
    17El Palo27581423:43-2023
    18CD Torreperogil26461615:36-2118

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation