Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Motril
57.4% | Draw
26.1% | Arenas Armilla
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Motril - Arenas Armilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.59) |
3.48 ↓
(3.5) |
5.52 ↑
(5.13) |
10%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 4.
- Motril is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arenas Armilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arenas Armilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Motril is the team to beat.
- We predict that Motril will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Motril won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Motril won against Arenas Armilla?
Motril has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenas Armilla won against Motril?
Arenas Armilla has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motril - Arenas Armilla were as follows:
12.10.2025
Arenas Armilla
-
Motril
0:2
30.03.2025
Arenas Armilla
-
Motril
0:1
17.11.2024
Motril
-
Arenas Armilla
2:0
21.01.2024
Motril
-
Arenas Armilla
1:0
10.09.2023
Arenas Armilla
-
Motril
1:1
Latest results of Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 62 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 48 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:27 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 39:37 | 2 | 43 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Mancha | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Martos | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 22:40 | -18 | 31 |
| 18 | El Palo | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
