Result
3:1
08/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Motril
66.6% | Draw
21.7% | Mancha Real
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2%)
Motril - Mancha Real Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.44) |
4.2
(4.2) |
7.83 ↑
(6.35) |
9.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 1.
- Motril is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Motril is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Motril won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Motril won against Mancha Real?
Motril has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mancha Real won against Motril?
Mancha Real has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motril - Mancha Real were as follows:
26.10.2025
Mancha Real
-
Motril
0:1
19.03.2025
Motril
-
Mancha Real
2:2
27.10.2024
Mancha Real
-
Motril
2:1
23.03.2024
Mancha Real
-
Motril
4:2
05.11.2023
Motril
-
Mancha Real
0:2
Latest results of Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 46:22 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 43 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:22 | 7 | 40 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Huetor Vega | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | UD San Pedro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26:31 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Melilla B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 19:22 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Alhaurino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Martos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | Mancha | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21:30 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | El Palo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Torreperogil | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
