Motril vs UD San Pedro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
16/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Almagro D. ,
  • 23', 2 - 1, ,
  • 41', 2 - 2, Ortega A. ,
  • 44', 3 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 78', 3 - 3, ,
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Motril
66.7%
Draw
22%
UD San Pedro
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 19.8% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 18.9% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • UD San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Pedro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Motril - UD San Pedro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.36)
    3.73
    (4.6)
    7.28
    (7)
    21.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).
    • Motril is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Pedro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Motril is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Motril will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Motril
    09.11.2025 Marbellí - Motril 1:1
    02.11.2025 Motril - Alhaurino 2:0
    26.10.2025 Mancha Real - Motril 0:1
    19.10.2025 Motril - Torredonjimeno 1:1
    12.10.2025 Arenas Armilla - Motril 0:2
    Latest results of UD San Pedro
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas23155331:141750
    2Motril24138342:212147
    3Torre del Mar23118427:161141
    4Arenas Armilla23117526:141240
    5Torredonjimeno23109430:23739
    6Churriana de la Vega24116722:25-339
    7Marbelli23106727:20736
    8Granada CF B23710630:28231
    9Huetor Vega23941027:28-131
    10Atletico de Porcuna23921226:23329
    11Melilla B2277817:18-128
    12CD Alhaurino23761028:33-527
    13Martos2368923:28-526
    14UD San Pedro22741123:29-625
    15Mancha23661119:26-724
    16Huetor Tajar23581025:30-523
    17El Palo23371318:41-2316
    18CD Torreperogil23251611:35-2411

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation