Casey Cavaliers vs Mount Gambier Pioneers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 South Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers
Result
91:93
10/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South

Chances of winning


Casey Cavaliers
57.9%
Mount Gambier Pioneers
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casey Cavaliers's form might have worsened.
  • Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mount Gambier Pioneers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Cavaliers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.31)

    2.21
    (2.93)
    7.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers?
  • Users Predictions: Mount Gambier Pioneers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mount Gambier Pioneers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Casey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Casey might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Casey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 311:376. (average 77.8:94).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 150:199. (average 75:99.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 80:81
    19.05.2024 Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers 70:82
    14.04.2023 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 97:80
    Latest results of Casey Cavaliers
    Latest results of Mount Gambier Pioneers
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    Main
    PlWLPCT
    1Knox221752018:18560.773
    2Mt Gambier221662123:18130.727
    3Kilsyth221481964:18920.636
    4Eltham221481978:18820.636
    5Sandringham Sabres221482069:19770.636
    6Melbourne Tigers221481928:18070.636
    7Ballarat221481933:19550.636
    8Hobart Chargers211291862:18170.571
    9Ringwood2211112092:19980.500
    10Casey Cavaliers2211111931:19000.500
    11Nunawading2211111922:19000.500
    12Frankston2210122038:20010.455
    13Waverley229132061:21240.409
    14Dandenong228142004:21000.364
    15Keilor Thunder228141812:19370.364
    16Bendigo Braves228141797:20750.364
    17Geelong227151802:19460.318
    18NW Tasmania215161817:19410.238
    19Diamond Valley225171859:20890.227

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