Casey Cavaliers vs Mount Gambier Pioneers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
91:93
10/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South

Chances of winning


Casey Cavaliers
57.9%
Mount Gambier Pioneers
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casey Cavaliers's form might have worsened.
  • Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mount Gambier Pioneers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Cavaliers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.31)

    2.21
    (2.93)
    7.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB, 1st Half - Mount Gambier (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Mount Gambier (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5, OT - Mount Gambier (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, 1st Half - Mount Gambier (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5, 1st Half - Mount Gambier (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Mount Gambier (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1, OT - Mount Gambier (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Mount Gambier (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Mount Gambier Pioneers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mount Gambier Pioneers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Mount Gambier (votes: 19 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Casey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Casey might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Casey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 311:376. (average 77.8:94).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 150:199. (average 75:99.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 80:81
    19.05.2024 Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers 70:82
    14.04.2023 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers 97:80
    Latest results of Casey Cavaliers
    Latest results of Mount Gambier Pioneers
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Knox761687:6270.857
    2Melbourne Tigers651549:4800.833
    3Nunawading752695:6090.714
    4Eltham752615:5470.714
    5Frankston752674:6310.714
    6Dandenong642581:5260.667
    7Hobart Chargers642542:5410.667
    8Bendigo Braves532442:4490.600
    9Keilor Thunder633560:5260.500
    10Waverley633538:5160.500
    11Kilsyth633539:5360.500
    12Casey Cavaliers633579:5790.500
    13Sandringham Sabres624498:5090.333
    14Diamond Valley624538:5670.333
    15Mt Gambier624528:5850.333
    16Geelong514392:4460.200
    17Northern Tasmania615519:5970.167
    18Ringwood716605:6730.143
    19Ballarat716580:7170.143

          Promotion ~ NBL1 South (Play Offs: )