Lagoa vs Moura – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Lagoa - Moura
Result
0:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Marques D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lagoa
42.7%
Draw
26%
Moura
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 27.4% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 26.3% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagoa's form might have worsened.
  • Moura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moura's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lagoa - Moura Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.8)
    3.48
    (3.32)
    2.9
    (4.13)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Recently Moura have a series of home games.
    • In this match Lagoa is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lagoa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Moura were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Moura - Lagoa 2:1
    Latest results of Lagoa
    29.03.2025 Amora - Lagoa 1:0
    02.03.2025 Sintrense - Lagoa 1:1
    23.02.2025 Lagoa - Louletano 0:5
    Latest results of Moura
    09.03.2025 Moura - Louletano 0:1
    23.02.2025 Moura - Moncarapachense 0:2
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juv. Evora32104:137
    2O Elvas CAD32016:246
    3Serpa32015:236
    4Oriental31205:235
    5Malveira31112:114
    6Moncarapachense31113:304
    7Alverca B31114:5-14
    8Louletano21102:114
    9Sintrense31113:4-14
    10GD Alcochetense31112:204
    11Portimonense B31023:4-13
    12Vasco da Gama30214:8-42
    13Industria30120:6-61
    14Lagoa20022:4-20

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