Moyuka Uchijima vs Elina Svitolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
53%80%
1st Serve Points Won
48% (10/21)64% (23/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
26% (5/19)56% (5/9)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
33% (12/36)52% (11/21)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (4/9)74% (14/19)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
38% (15/40)67% (30/45)
Return Points Won
33% (15/45)63% (25/40)
Total Points Won
35% (30/85)65% (55/85)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
29% (2/7)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)71% (5/7)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Moyuka Uchijima
22.5%
Elina Svitolina
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 68.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyuka Uchijima's form might have worsened.
  • Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elina Svitolina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moyuka Uchijima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.24
    (2.69)

    1.23
    (1.39)
    4.7%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uchijima will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Svitolina will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchijima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Games - Uchijima (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchijima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Uchijima is ranked WTA: 56. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 17.
    • Uchijima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
    • Svitolina in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
    • Uchijima could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match, Svitolina is a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Uchijima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Moyuka Uchijima - Elina Svitolina 0:2
    Latest results of Moyuka Uchijima
    Latest results of Elina Svitolina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2