Benfica vs MT Melsungen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
26:30
02/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European League - Group Stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay

Highlights

Chances of winning


Benfica
41.1%
Draw
11.4%
MT Melsungen
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 11.5% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 11.2% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Benfica - MT Melsungen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.41)
    7.97
    (7.88)
    1.92
    (1.77)
    10.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • Benfica is Qualified for European League
    • Melsungen is Qualified for European League
    • Benfica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melsungen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Melsungen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Benfica has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 128:141. (average 25.6:28.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 55:50. (average 27.5:25).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - MT Melsungen were as follows:
    14.10.2025 MT Melsungen - Benfica 28:26
    17.08.2024 MT Melsungen - Benfica 31:25
    Latest results of Benfica
    25.11.2025 Ferencváros - Benfica 33:31
    22.11.2025 Belenenses - Benfica 29:30
    18.11.2025 Benfica - HF Karlskrona 36:33
    15.11.2025 Porto - Benfica 27:27
    11.11.2025 HF Karlskrona - Benfica 32:34
    Latest results of MT Melsungen
    EHF European League Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Kiel4400126:1088
    2Flensburg-H4301141:1346
    3Montpellier4103119:1302
    4CD Bidasoa Irun4004132:1460


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Skanderborg AGF4301124:1086
    2Elverum4202118:1184
    3Porto4202115:1164
    4Granollers4103110:1252


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1MT Melsungen4301124:1186
    2Vardar 19614202138:1354
    3Benfica4202130:1274
    4Kristianstad4103125:1372


    Group 4
    PlWDLPts
    1Hannover-Burgdorf4301132:1156
    2Fredericia4202127:1274
    3Kadetten Schaffhausen4202117:1274
    4Nexe4103122:1292

          Promotion ~ European League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ European League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)