Result
4:0
28/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport + |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
74% (248/334) | 85% (472/556) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.12 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 13 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
74% (248/334) | 85% (472/556) |
Long passes |
---|
25% (15/59) | 54% (27/50) |
Passes in final third |
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59% (44/75) | 72% (102/141) |
Crosses |
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17% (2/12) | 12% (3/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (6/10) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.03 | 2.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Matic B. (Own goal),
- 23', Kata M. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Molnar A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Szabo S. ↓, Lippai T. ↑,
- 46', Nagy K. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
- 50', Lippai T. 🟨,
- 56', Popoola R. 🟨,
- 57', Biro B. ↓, Kormendi K. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Kerezsi Z. ⚽,
- 64', Kata M. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
- 65', Mesanovic J. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
- 70', Horvath A. 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 0, Polievka R. ⚽, Kovacs P. (A),
- 73', Polievka R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 73', Yordanov T. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,
- 73', Bognar I. ↓, Nemeth H. ↑,
- 76', Varju B. 🟨,
- 76', Molnar G. 🟨,
- 83', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Jurina M. ↑,
- 84', Kadar T. ↓, Vitalyos V. ↑,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest 61.8% | Draw 22% | Kisvárda 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MTK Budapest's performance.Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kisvárda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
MTK Budapest - Kisvárda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↑ (1.67) |
5.37 ↑ (4) |
7.76 ↑ (4.3) |
-11.1% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Kisvárda?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- MTK might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Kisvárda?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against MTK Budapest?
Kisvárda has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Kisvárda were as follows:
02.04.2024
Kisvárda
-
MTK Budapest
3:2
17.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
2:1
25.11.2023
Kisvárda
-
MTK Budapest
3:1
11.08.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
0:0
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Kisvárda
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Paks | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 22:12 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 14 |
3 | Debrecen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
4 | MTK Budapest | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Gyor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
7 | Kisvarda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 10 |
8 | Ujpest | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
9 | DVTK | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
10 | Kazincbarcikai | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
11 | Zalaegerszegi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.