MTK Budapest vs Kisvárda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I MTK Budapest - Kisvárda
Result
4:0
28/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryDuna World / M4 Sport +

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.93
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
74% (248/334)85% (472/556)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.93
xG on target (xGOT)
2.120.03
Total shots
822
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
211
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
74% (248/334)85% (472/556)
Long passes
25% (15/59)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
59% (44/75)72% (102/141)
Crosses
17% (2/12)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.09
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
1311
Tackles
60% (6/10)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5743
Clearances
317
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.032.12
Goals prevented
0.03-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Matic B. (Own goal),
  • 23', Kata M. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Molnar A. , Bognar I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Szabo S. , Lippai T. ,
  • 46', Nagy K. , Molnar G. ,
  • 50', Lippai T. 🟨,
  • 56', Popoola R. 🟨,
  • 57', Biro B. , Kormendi K. ,
  • 58', 3 - 0, Kerezsi Z. ,
  • 64', Kata M. , Horvath A. ,
  • 65', Mesanovic J. , Novothny S. ,
  • 70', Horvath A. 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 0, Polievka R. , Kovacs P. (A),
  • 73', Polievka R. , Nemeth K. ,
  • 73', Yordanov T. , Matanovic M. ,
  • 73', Bognar I. , Nemeth H. ,
  • 76', Varju B. 🟨,
  • 76', Molnar G. 🟨,
  • 83', Kerezsi Z. , Jurina M. ,
  • 84', Kadar T. , Vitalyos V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MTK Budapest
61.8%
Draw
22%
Kisvárda
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.1% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 22.2% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MTK Budapest's performance.
  • Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kisvárda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • MTK Budapest - Kisvárda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.67)
    5.37
    (4)
    7.76
    (4.3)
    -11.1%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Kisvárda?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • MTK might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Kisvárda were as follows:
    02.04.2024 Kisvárda - MTK Budapest 3:2
    17.03.2024 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 2:1
    25.11.2023 Kisvárda - MTK Budapest 3:1
    11.08.2023 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 0:0
    Latest results of MTK Budapest
    13.09.2025 Siofok - MTK Budapest 1:7
    30.08.2025 Ujpest - MTK Budapest 1:2
    24.08.2025 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 2:3
    17.08.2025 MTK Budapest - Győri ETO 2:7
    Latest results of Kisvárda
    21.09.2025 Kisvárda - Debreceni 0:1
    13.09.2025 Ajka - Kisvárda 3:1
    15.08.2025 Ujpest - Kisvárda 0:1
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paks853022:121018
    2Ferencvaros742116:61014
    3Debrecen842211:10114
    4MTK Budapest941418:16213
    5Gyor733115:9612
    6Puskas Academy831412:15-310
    7Kisvarda73137:13-610
    8Ujpest822412:1208
    9DVTK815212:16-48
    10Kazincbarcikai82159:18-97
    11Zalaegerszegi814315:1507
    12Nyiregyhaza813410:17-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.