Result
2:3
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 19
- Referee: Rusz M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (346/446) | 73% (263/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (346/446) | 73% (263/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 43% (32/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (100/156) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (7/42) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Molnar A. ⚽, Nemeth H. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Biro B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mesanovic J. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
- 58', Melnyk B. ↓, Popoola R. ↑,
- 58', Cipetic B. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,
- 63', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Kata M. ↑,
- 63', Atrok I. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 63', Polievka R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 72', Popoola R. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Molnar A. ⚽,
- 74', Yordanov T. ↓, Pinter F. ↑,
- 74', Nagy K. ↓, Lippai T. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Szor L. ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 3, Lippai T. ⚽,
- 85', Nemeth H. ↓, Armalas V. ↑,
- 90+1', Molnar A. ↓, Kovacs P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kisvárda
46.2% | Draw
26.6% | MTK Budapest
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Kisvárda - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.33) |
3.51 ↑
(3.37) |
3.39 ↑
(2.91) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kisvárda - MTK Budapest?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kisvárda will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). MTK will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kisvárda: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - MTK (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kisvárda (votes: 2 - 66.7%). MTK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 2.
- Recent performances by Kisvárda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- MTK is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, MTK has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against MTK Budapest?
Kisvárda has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Kisvárda?
MTK Budapest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kisvárda - MTK Budapest were as follows:
28.09.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
4:0
02.04.2024
Kisvárda
-
MTK Budapest
3:2
17.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
2:1
25.11.2023
Kisvárda
-
MTK Budapest
3:1
11.08.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
0:0
Latest results of Kisvárda
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 46:26 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | Paks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Zalaegerszegi | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | DVTK | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 21:49 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
