Result
4:0
28/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport + |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/334) | 85% (472/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/334) | 85% (472/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/59) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (44/75) | 72% (102/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Matic B. (Own goal),
- 23', Kata M. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Molnar A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Szabo S. ↓, Lippai T. ↑,
- 46', Nagy K. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
- 50', Lippai T. 🟨,
- 56', Popoola R. 🟨,
- 57', Biro B. ↓, Kormendi K. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Kerezsi Z. ⚽,
- 64', Kata M. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
- 65', Mesanovic J. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
- 70', Horvath A. 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 0, Polievka R. ⚽, Kovacs P. (A),
- 73', Polievka R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 73', Yordanov T. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,
- 73', Bognar I. ↓, Nemeth H. ↑,
- 76', Varju B. 🟨,
- 76', Molnar G. 🟨,
- 83', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Jurina M. ↑,
- 84', Kadar T. ↓, Vitalyos V. ↑,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
61.8% | Draw
22% | Kisvárda
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MTK Budapest's performance.Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kisvárda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
MTK Budapest - Kisvárda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.67) |
5.37 ↑
(4) |
7.76 ↑
(4.3) |
-11.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Kisvárda?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- MTK might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Kisvárda?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against MTK Budapest?
Kisvárda has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Kisvárda were as follows:
02.04.2024
Kisvárda
-
MTK Budapest
3:2
17.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
2:1
25.11.2023
Kisvárda
-
MTK Budapest
3:1
11.08.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Kisvárda
0:0
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Kisvárda
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Kisvarda | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 19 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Ferencvaros | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gyor | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | DVTK | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Kazincbarcikai | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Ujpest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
