Result
2:4
30/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Thailand | True Ball Thai 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (208/299) | 70% (237/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 3.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (208/299) | 70% (237/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 47% (38/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (54/98) | 63% (75/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.10 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 11', 1 - 0, Tierney F. ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, Otakhonov A. ⚽, Arjvirai P. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Khamyok K. ⚽, Arjvirai P. (A),
- 31', 2 - 2, Filipovic V. ⚽, Phumipha E. A. (A),
- 32', Abu Khalil M. ↓, Otton C. ↑,
- 42', 2 - 3, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shamsaldin A. ↓, Ablorh L. ↑,
- 46', Wisetchat N. ↓, Worapanichkan M. ↑,
- 49', Worapanichkan M. 🟨,
- 50', Panthong S. 🟨,
- 64', Phutchan K. 🟨,
- 65', Roback E. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
- 65', Panthong S. ↓, Chaikultewin W. ↑,
- 69', Tierney F. ↓, Tumsuwan S. ↑,
- 76', Khamyok K. 🟨,
- 78', Phutchan K. ↓, Hamzah M. ↑,
- 80', Sattham J. 🟨,
- 80', Khamyok K. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 84', Auksornsri T. 🟨,
- 90', Sattham J. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 4, Tasa K. ⚽, Chaikultewin W. (A),
- 90+9', Strauss J. 🟨,
- 90+9', Autra P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Pathom United
31.3% | Draw
25.7% | Muangthong United
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Pathom United's performance.Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muangthong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Pathom United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+28.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(6.5) |
3.57 ↓
(4.75) |
2.12 ↑
(1.33) |
9.3%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Muangthong United will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 7).
- Nakhon Pathom United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Muangthong United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Muangthong United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 1:3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Pathom United won against Muangthong United?
Nakhon Pathom United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Nakhon Pathom United?
Muangthong United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United were as follows:
29.01.2025
Nakhon Pathom United
-
Muangthong United
0:4
11.11.2024
Muangthong United
-
Nakhon Pathom United
3:1
23.02.2024
Nakhon Pathom United
-
Muangthong United
2:2
23.09.2023
Muangthong United
-
Nakhon Pathom United
3:1
Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United
Latest results of Muangthong United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Uthai Thani | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 22 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14:35 | -21 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
