Result
1:1
01/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (235/314) | 83% (415/498) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (235/314) | 83% (415/498) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (50/91) | 66% (68/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Sareepim S. ⚽, Choolthong W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ahannach A. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 46', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 50', Sareepim S. 🟨,
- 57', Sareepim S. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
- 57', Songkrasin C. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
- 59', Notsuda G. 🟨,
- 62', Panthong S. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Khamyok K. ⚽, Tasa K. (A),
- 67', Gustavsson P. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
- 72', Phosri S. 🟨,
- 78', Choolthong W. 🟨,
- 84', Phosri S. ↓, Danuphon B. ↑,
- 88', Saric M. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
- 90+2', Yooyen S. ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
- 90+3', Kempter M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United 39.6% | Draw 27.4% | Pathum United 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muangthong United's performance.Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muangthong United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Muangthong United - Pathum United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (2.75) |
3.38 ↓ (3.39) |
2.8 ↑ (2.33) |
8.1% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Pathum United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Pathum United (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Pathum United?
Muangthong United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Muangthong United?
Pathum United has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Pathum United were as follows:
21.01.2026
Muangthong United
-
Pathum United
0:2
14.12.2025
Pathum United
-
Muangthong United
3:0
01.03.2025
Pathum United
-
Muangthong United
2:0
19.10.2024
Muangthong United
-
Pathum United
1:1
16.06.2024
Pathum United
-
Muangthong United
1:0
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Pathum United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )