Muangthong United vs Pathum United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.920.70
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
35
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
32
Passes
75% (235/314)83% (415/498)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.84
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
107
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
2110
Passes
75% (235/314)83% (415/498)
Long passes
36% (19/53)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)66% (68/103)
Crosses
23% (3/13)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.77
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
1021
Tackles
79% (11/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
0.840.57
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Sareepim S. , Choolthong W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ahannach A. , Tasa K. ,
  • 46', Jamnongwat W. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 50', Sareepim S. 🟨,
  • 57', Sareepim S. , Matsuda R. ,
  • 57', Songkrasin C. , Panya E. ,
  • 59', Notsuda G. 🟨,
  • 62', Panthong S. , Nuntagowat T. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Khamyok K. , Tasa K. (A),
  • 67', Gustavsson P. , Doi T. ,
  • 72', Phosri S. 🟨,
  • 78', Choolthong W. 🟨,
  • 84', Phosri S. , Danuphon B. ,
  • 88', Saric M. , Thodsanid P. ,
  • 90+2', Yooyen S. , Jantawong P. ,
  • 90+3', Kempter M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Muangthong United
39.6%
Draw
27.4%
Pathum United
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 27.1% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 27.4% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muangthong United's performance.
  • Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muangthong United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Muangthong United - Pathum United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.75)
    3.38
    (3.39)
    2.8
    (2.33)
    8.1%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Pathum United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Pathum United (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Pathum United were as follows:
    21.01.2026 Muangthong United - Pathum United 0:2
    14.12.2025 Pathum United - Muangthong United 3:0
    01.03.2025 Pathum United - Muangthong United 2:0
    19.10.2024 Muangthong United - Pathum United 1:1
    16.06.2024 Pathum United - Muangthong United 1:0
    Latest results of Muangthong United
    Latest results of Pathum United
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram ✔ 29223475:304569
    2Port MTI FC29176655:223357
    3Ratchaburi28165748:291953
    4Pathum United291310642:291349
    5Bangkok Utd291310642:311149
    6Prachuap281012637:34342
    7Rayong FC28991042:42036
    8Chiangrai Utd28812835:37-236
    9Chonburi29991136:40-436
    10Ayutthaya Utd29881333:46-1332
    11Uthai Thani287101139:41-231
    12Lamphun Warrior28415934:46-1227
    13Muang Thong Utd29681527:49-2226
    14Sukhothai295101420:42-2225
    15Nakhon Ratchasima FC29661719:42-2324
    16Kanchanaburi294111429:53-2423

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )