Muğlaspor vs Kastamonuspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig White Group - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Abdioglu Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', 1 - 1, Kahya K. C. ,

Chances of winning


Muğlaspor
56.9%
Draw
24.9%
Kastamonuspor
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 24.1% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 23.5% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muğlaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Muğlaspor - Kastamonuspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.47)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    4.97
    (6.45)
    10.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Muğlaspor - Kastamonuspor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Muğlaspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kastamonuspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kastamonuspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Muğlaspor is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Muğlaspor
    Latest results of Kastamonuspor
    Turkish Second League White Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Batman Petrolspor ✔ 34247377:304779
    2Muglaspor ✔ 34208648:192968
    3Adana ✔ 351910655:322367
    4Elazigspor34196979:374263
    5Sanliurfaspor34187961:421961
    6Ankaragucu34178947:39859
    7Inegolspor341610864:412358
    8Iskenderunspor341681049:391056
    9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341214841:33850
    10Ankaraspor341213958:481049
    1124 Erzincanspor341461452:47548
    12Kastamonuspor351191544:53-942
    13Karacabey Bld341171644:52-840
    14Erbaaspor341061838:57-1936
    15Altinordu347101727:55-2831
    16Beykoz Anadolu34852133:61-2829
    17Kepez Bld. ✔ 34582131:68-3723
    18Karaman ✔ 34392223:79-5618
    19Bucaspor 1928 ✔ 34372434:73-3916

          Promotion ~ 1. Lig
          Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Batman Petrolspor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for 1. Lig
    Muglaspor is Qualified for 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs )
    Adana is Qualified for 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs )
    Kepez Bld. is Relegated to
    Karaman is Relegated to
    Bucaspor 1928 is Relegated to