Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Etincelles
61.2% | Draw
25.9% | Muhanga
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Etincelles - Muhanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.49) |
3.46 ↑
(3.37) |
6.99 ↑
(6.63) |
11.4%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Muhanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Etincelles is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Muhanga?
Etincelles has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muhanga won against Etincelles?
Muhanga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Etincelles - Muhanga were as follows:
18.10.2025
Muhanga
-
Etincelles
1:1
Latest results of Etincelles
Latest results of Muhanga
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 61:20 | 41 | 61 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 25:38 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:40 | -22 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
