Aurora vs Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Guatemala Liga Nacional Aurora - Municipal
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
guatemalaGuatemalaTigo Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
01
Total shots
77
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 34', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mingorance P. 🟨,
  • 57', Mendez J. , Barrientos R. ,
  • 62', Mingorance P. , Ruiz D. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Vivas J. ,
  • 75', Hernandez C. , Contreras D. ,
  • 75', Matos Y. , Bantes J. ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 76', Lovato N. , Ticuru J. ,
  • 76', Garcia A. , Quan C. ,
  • 80', Galindo A. 🟨,
  • 82', Estrada C. 🟨,
  • 84', Quan C. 🟨,
  • 84', Estrada C. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 84', Ibarguen E. , Batres J. ,
  • 84', Galindo A. , Urias V. ,
  • 88', Bajan D. 🟨,
  • 88', Bantes J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Archila C. 🟥,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aurora
26.8%
Draw
28.9%
Municipal
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 29.7% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 29.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Aurora - Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.34)
    3.18
    (3.05)
    2.07
    (2.1)
    8.9%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Aurora - Municipal?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Municipal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Aurora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Municipal is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
    • Municipal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Municipal were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Municipal - Aurora 2:1
    Latest results of Aurora
    20.09.2025 Deportivo Mixco - Aurora 2:2
    13.09.2025 Xelajú - Aurora 2:2
    07.09.2025 Aurora - Malacateco 1:0
    30.08.2025 Comunicaciones - Aurora 0:2
    Latest results of Municipal
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Municipal1375123:101326
    2Deportivo Mixco1282215:9626
    3Antigua1272323:14923
    4Aurora F.C1264219:14522
    5Xelaju1353522:16618
    6Mictlan124448:9-116
    7Malacateco1351717:19-216
    8Coban Imperial1343613:16-315
    9Deportivo Achuapa1134413:14-113
    10Comunicaciones1332811:19-811
    11Marquense113268:17-911
    12Guastatoya1322911:26-158

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