Result
3:1
19/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Calderon C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Hernandez C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Marquez R. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
- 46', Calderon R. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Ochaeta D. ⚽,
- 71', Calderon C. ↓, David A. ↑,
- 71', Mendez J. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
- 71', Lopez E. ↓, Matos Y. ↑,
- 76', Jaen Y. ↓, Quiros D. ↑,
- 76', Hernandez C. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Quiros D. ⚽,
- 79', Quiros D. 🟨,
- 80', Franco J. ↓, Barrientos R. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 86', David A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Cardenas S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Xelajú
29.3% | Draw
30.4% | Municipal
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xelajú's form might have worsened.Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xelajú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Xelajú - Municipal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.3) |
3.02 ↑
(3.01) |
2.28 ↓
(2.95) |
8.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Municipal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Municipal?
Xelajú has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Municipal won against Xelajú?
Municipal has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xelajú - Municipal were as follows:
28.01.2026
Municipal
-
Xelajú
1:0
02.11.2025
Xelajú
-
Municipal
1:1
23.08.2025
Municipal
-
Xelajú
1:1
29.03.2025
Municipal
-
Xelajú
1:0
26.01.2025
Xelajú
-
Municipal
1:1
Latest results of Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Antigua | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Municipal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Marquense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | Deportivo Achuapa | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14:24 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
