Ulster vs Munster – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
28:3
02/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 3)
  • 2nd Half (22 - 0)

Chances of winning


Ulster
69.7%
Draw
3.8%
Munster
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 4.6% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 4.7% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulster's performance.
  • Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Munster might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulster that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Munster than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Munster could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ulster - Munster Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.64)
    24.15
    (20.32)
    3.47
    (2.39)
    8.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Ulster - Munster?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5 - Munster (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Munster (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Ulster is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Ulster will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 373:441. (average 18.7:22.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 224:172. (average 20.4:15.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulster - Munster were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Munster - Ulster 38:20
    20.12.2024 Ulster - Munster 19:22
    01.06.2024 Munster - Ulster 29:24
    10.11.2023 Ulster - Munster 21:14
    01.01.2023 Ulster - Munster 14:15
    Latest results of Ulster
    27.12.2025 Connacht - Ulster 24:29
    19.12.2025 Leinster - Ulster 24:20
    13.12.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Ulster 29:26
    05.12.2025 Ulster - Racing Métro 61:7
    28.11.2025 Ulster - Benetton Treviso 47:13
    Latest results of Munster
    27.12.2025 Munster - Leinster 8:13
    20.12.2025 Ospreys - Munster 10:26
    13.12.2025 Munster - Gloucester 31:3
    06.12.2025 Bath - Munster 40:14
    29.11.2025 Munster - Stormers 26:27
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors12903320:17045
    2Leinster12804308:24241
    3Cardiff Rugby12804240:21040
    4Munster12804248:22539
    5Stormers11803284:18536
    6Ulster11704312:22936
    7Lions12615325:34233
    8Bulls11605304:27030
    9Ospreys12525260:27329
    10Connacht11407258:27925
    11Sharks12417256:33324
    12Edinburgh11407219:21323
    13Benetton12426216:28123
    14Dragons12237227:28620
    15Scarlets11317192:26316
    16Zebre122010197:36512

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