Result
02/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ulster 57.4% | Draw 4.5% | Munster 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ulster - Munster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.64) |
20.42 ↑ (20.32) |
2.43 ↑ (2.39) |
8.4% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ulster could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Ulster will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 373:441. (average 18.7:22.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 224:172. (average 20.4:15.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulster won against Munster?
Ulster has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Munster won against Ulster?
Munster has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulster - Munster were as follows:
09.05.2025
Munster
-
Ulster
38:20
20.12.2024
Ulster
-
Munster
19:22
01.06.2024
Munster
-
Ulster
29:24
10.11.2023
Ulster
-
Munster
21:14
01.01.2023
Ulster
-
Munster
14:15
Latest results of Munster
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 218:87 | 32 |
| 2 | Munster | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 180:139 | 30 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 179:141 | 30 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 206:102 | 29 |
| 5 | Ulster | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 231:164 | 27 |
| 6 | Leinster | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 187:174 | 25 |
| 7 | Benetton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 159:214 | 18 |
| 8 | Lions | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 203:212 | 17 |
| 9 | Connacht | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 172:168 | 16 |
| 10 | Bulls | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 184:211 | 15 |
| 11 | Edinburgh | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 143:133 | 13 |
| 12 | Ospreys | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 163:204 | 13 |
| 13 | Sharks | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 134:192 | 12 |
| 14 | Zebre | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 144:240 | 11 |
| 15 | Dragons | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 151:225 | 11 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 121:169 | 9 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)