Tre Penne vs Murata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Pastorelli L. , Peluso L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 85', 2 - 0, Berardi F. , Migani M. (A),

Chances of winning


Tre Penne
67.5%
Draw
21%
Murata
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 21.2% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 17.7% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Murata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tre Penne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Tre Penne - Murata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.34)
    4.32
    (4.28)
    7.83
    (8.2)
    10.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Tre Penne is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - Murata were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Tre Penne - Murata 2:2
    18.05.2024 Murata - Tre Penne 2:3
    21.02.2024 Murata - Tre Penne 0:2
    29.10.2023 Tre Penne - Murata 3:0
    19.02.2023 Tre Penne - Murata 2:0
    Latest results of Tre Penne
    08.11.2025 Tre Penne - Domagnano 0:0
    01.11.2025 Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne 1:1
    24.10.2025 Tre Penne - Tre Fiori 0:0
    21.10.2025 Domagnano - Tre Penne 2:2
    17.10.2025 Cosmos - Tre Penne 3:0
    Latest results of Murata
    09.11.2025 Murata - San Giovanni 0:0
    31.10.2025 Cosmos - Murata 1:1
    25.10.2025 Murata - Domagnano 0:6
    22.10.2025 Faetano - Murata 1:1
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Virtus23175150:113956
    2Tre Fiori23175148:93956
    3Tre Penne23165250:133753
    4Folgore23144551:242746
    5La Fiorita23138249:212842
    6Domagnano23116647:222539
    7Cosmos2398625:16935
    8Fiorentino231031023:35-1233
    9Juvenes/Dogana2377928:31-328
    10Libertas23671027:47-2025
    11San Giovanni23491017:31-1421
    12Pennarossa23561223:45-2221
    13Faetano23541418:43-2519
    14San Marino Academy U2223251617:48-3111
    15Cailungo23241715:48-3310
    16Murata23141815:59-44-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)