Emelec vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Mushuc Runa
Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 21
  • Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.69
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
77% (240/311)59% (131/222)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.26
Total shots
108
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1020
Passes
77% (240/311)59% (131/222)
Long passes
41% (14/34)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
61% (46/75)46% (44/96)
Crosses
17% (2/12)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.81
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
2010
Tackles
100% (7/7)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4352
Clearances
4211
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.260.59
Goals prevented
0.26-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Castillo Saa J. L. , Quintero S. (A),
  • 45+3', Quintero D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bentaberry B. , Burbano R. ,
  • 46', Penilla C. , Orejuela C. ,
  • 46', Charcopa J. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 46', Cuero Palacio J. R. , Quinonez J. ,
  • 56', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
  • 65', Arce L. , Tapiero S. ,
  • 65', Mina G. , Verges J. ,
  • 66', Cevallos J. , Barco A. ,
  • 66', Castelli F. , Angulo J. ,
  • 74', Caicedo L. 🟨,
  • 76', Castillo Saa J. L. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 86', Caicedo L. , Leon F. ,
  • 90+4', Peralta K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
57.8%
Draw
25.4%
Mushuc Runa
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 25.3% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 24.6% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Emelec - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.64)
    3.63
    (3.68)
    5.51
    (5.14)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Mushuc Runa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
    • Recent performances by Emelec have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mushuc Runa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Emelec is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:17. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:4. (average 2.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 1:1
    11.08.2024 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 3:0
    08.03.2024 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 0:0
    23.09.2023 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 3:1
    23.04.2023 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 0:0
    Latest results of Emelec
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1
    21.06.2025 Emelec - Delfín 2:2
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

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