Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 0.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
77% (240/311) | 59% (131/222) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 0.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.59 | 0.26 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
77% (240/311) | 59% (131/222) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (14/34) | 40% (25/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (46/75) | 46% (44/96) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (2/12) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.83 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (7/7) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.26 | 0.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.26 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Castillo Saa J. L. ⚽, Quintero S. (A),
- 45+3', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bentaberry B. ↓, Burbano R. ↑,
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
- 46', Charcopa J. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 46', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 56', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 65', Arce L. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 65', Mina G. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 66', Cevallos J. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 66', Castelli F. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 76', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 86', Caicedo L. ↓, Leon F. ↑,
- 90+4', Peralta K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec 57.8% | Draw 25.4% | Mushuc Runa 16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Emelec - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.64) |
3.63 ↓ (3.68) |
5.51 ↑ (5.14) |
7.9% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- Recent performances by Emelec have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Emelec is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:17. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:4. (average 2.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Mushuc Runa?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Emelec?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
29.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
1:1
11.08.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
3:0
08.03.2024
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
23.09.2023
Emelec
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
23.04.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Emelec
0:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )