Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (373/435) | 70% (165/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (373/435) | 70% (165/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (43/67) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/126) | 42% (23/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Ayovi W. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Gracia A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 46', Burbano R. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 46', Delgado B. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Caicedo E. (Pen),
- 68', Arce L. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 69', Ayovi W. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 83', Gracia A. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
- 83', Arboleda C. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 83', Garcia A. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 84', Tapiero S. 🟨,
- 87', Monaga J. 🟨,
- 89', Verges J. (Pen),
- 90+3', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
41.4% | Draw
28% | Libertad Loja
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.1) |
3.32 ↑
(3.25) |
3.02 ↓
(3.5) |
8.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3.
- Mushuc Runa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Libertad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mushuc Runa has had a series of away games.
- Mushuc Runa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Libertad Loja?
Mushuc Runa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Mushuc Runa?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja were as follows:
19.04.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
26.09.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
03.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
02.03.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
02.09.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
0:1
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
