Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja
Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.01
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
86% (373/435)70% (165/236)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.13
Total shots
217
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
178
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
108
Passes
86% (373/435)70% (165/236)
Long passes
64% (43/67)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
70% (88/126)42% (23/55)
Crosses
28% (7/25)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.18
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1012
Tackles
50% (6/12)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3133
Clearances
626
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
1.132.21
Goals prevented
-0.871.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Ayovi W. , Zambrano I. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Gracia A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Penilla C. , Mina G. ,
  • 46', Burbano R. , Verges J. ,
  • 46', Delgado B. , Orejuela C. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Caicedo E. (Pen),
  • 68', Arce L. , Davila E. ,
  • 69', Ayovi W. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 83', Gracia A. , Arce J. ,
  • 83', Arboleda C. , Gruezo C. ,
  • 83', Garcia A. , Monaga J. ,
  • 84', Tapiero S. 🟨,
  • 87', Monaga J. 🟨,
  • 89', Verges J. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Bravo J. , Humanante J. ,

Chances of winning


Mushuc Runa
41.4%
Draw
28%
Libertad Loja
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.8% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.7% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.1)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    3.02
    (3.5)
    8.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3.
    • Mushuc Runa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Libertad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Mushuc Runa has had a series of away games.
    • Mushuc Runa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    26.09.2024 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 2:1
    03.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:2
    02.03.2024 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 2:1
    02.09.2023 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 0:1
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    03.08.2025 Libertad Loja - Emelec 1:2
    21.07.2025 Libertad Loja - Manta 1:0
    16.07.2025 La Cantera - Libertad Loja 1:0
    13.07.2025 Orense - Libertad Loja 0:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle27178250:203059
    2Barcelona SC27145840:32847
    3LDU Quito27129642:261645
    4Dep. Cuenca27127832:26643
    5U. Catolica27119751:351642
    6Libertad27119740:34642
    7Orense27126931:31042
    8Aucas271151136:39-338
    9Emelec27108926:30-438
    10EL Nacional27971132:35-334
    11Macara277101026:28-231
    12Delfin276111025:40-1529
    13Manta275101231:45-1425
    14Tecnico U27671424:41-1725
    15Vinotinto27661529:38-924
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 27651630:45-1523

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )