MVV Maastricht vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Geusselt (Maastricht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 22
Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.07
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
1	11
Passes
75% (254/338)	81% (358/441)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.20	0.79
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
4	8
Shots outside the box
6	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
1	11
Touches in opposition box
11	37
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
8	3
Passes
75% (254/338)	81% (358/441)
Long passes
33% (25/76)	48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
58% (62/107)	70% (94/135)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.92
Throw ins
19	12
Fouls
3	8
Tackles
67% (18/27)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
53	42
Clearances
37	25
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.79	0.20
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Wendlinger J. (Own goal),
34', Burgering B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Burgering B. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
46', Kadile J. ↓, Druijf F. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽,
71', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
77', Cornelisse E. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
77', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
77', Silva Timas I. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
89', Foubert L. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

MVV Maastricht
20.2%

Draw
19.6%

Almere City
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24.1%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MVV Maastricht - Almere City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.75)	4.75 ↑ (3.85)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)	7.3% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Almere City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Almere City (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Almere City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to bad weather.
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
Recent performances by Maastricht have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almere City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury) de Haan M. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Almere City?

MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against MVV Maastricht?

Almere City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Almere City were as follows:

07.11.2025 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 4:0

19.05.2023 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 1:0

19.11.2022 MVV Maastricht - Almere City 1:0

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

30.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 5:0 ✺

23.01.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht 1:2 ✺

19.12.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺

12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Almere City

30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:4 ✺

18.01.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Almere City - Telstar 1:3 ✺

20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	33	25	2	6	74:32	42	77
2	Cambuur	32	21	7	4	66:37	29	70
3	Willem II	32	15	8	9	50:38	12	53
4	De Graafschap	32	15	7	10	59:51	8	52
5	Almere City	33	16	4	13	68:53	15	52
6	Jong PSV	33	15	5	13	62:58	4	50
7	Waalwijk	33	13	9	11	56:50	6	48
8	Roda	33	12	12	9	51:48	3	48
9	Den Bosch	33	13	7	13	58:59	-1	46
10	Dordrecht	33	11	10	12	44:46	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	32	12	4	16	46:57	-11	40
12	Jong Utrecht	33	10	9	14	51:55	-4	39
13	Venlo	33	11	5	17	41:51	-10	38
14	FC Emmen	31	10	7	14	48:56	-8	37
15	Vitesse	33	13	9	11	51:49	2	36
16	Maastricht	33	9	9	15	39:66	-27	36
17	Jong AZ	33	10	4	19	57:66	-9	34
18	Helmond	33	9	7	17	38:57	-19	34
19	Jong Ajax	33	8	8	17	45:59	-14	32
20	Oss	33	7	11	15	41:57	-16	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie