Result
1:1
02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 22
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (254/338) | 81% (358/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (254/338) | 81% (358/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/76) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (62/107) | 70% (94/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 0, Wendlinger J. (Own goal),
- 34', Burgering B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Burgering B. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 46', Kadile J. ↓, Druijf F. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽,
- 71', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 77', Cornelisse E. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 77', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
- 77', Silva Timas I. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
- 89', Foubert L. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
20.2% | Draw
19.6% | Almere City
60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↑
(3.75) |
4.75 ↑
(3.85) |
1.55 ↓
(1.79) |
7.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Almere City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Almere City (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
- Recent performances by Maastricht have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Almere City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
de Haan M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Almere City?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against MVV Maastricht?
Almere City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Almere City were as follows:
07.11.2025
Almere City
-
MVV Maastricht
4:0
19.05.2023
Almere City
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
19.11.2022
MVV Maastricht
-
Almere City
1:0
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
