Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (387/462) | 80% (316/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (387/462) | 80% (316/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 55% (39/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (97/146) | 61% (52/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Nisbet J. 🟨,
- 13', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Griffith I. ⚽, Nisbet J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 46', van Kempen M. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
- 58', Kleinen M. ↓, Klaasen R. ↑,
- 58', El Basri N. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
- 62', de Jong T. 🟨,
- 63', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
- 72', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 73', Breij M. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 86', Sy K. ↓, Jashari L. ↑,
- 86', van den Hurk A. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ⚽,
- 90+1', Breij M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Braken S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Roda
69.1% | Draw
18% | MVV Maastricht
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Roda - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.39) |
5.2 ↑
(5.07) |
7.12 ↑
(6.47) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Roda - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Roda is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Roda won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against MVV Maastricht?
Roda has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Roda?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
30.11.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Roda
0:0
01.02.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Roda
3:2
21.09.2024
Roda
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
17.03.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Roda
0:3
26.11.2023
Roda
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
