Result
3:2
21/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 12
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (262/340) | 84% (423/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (262/340) | 84% (423/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (39/72) | 61% (37/61) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 64% (69/108) | 71% (111/156) |
| Crosses |
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| 43% (3/7) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 54 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.21 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Silva Timas I. ⚽, Klaasen R. (A),
- 33', Schenk L. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,
- 37', Zumberi V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, El Basri N. (A),
- 68', 3 - 0, Silva Timas I. ⚽, Camil Mmaee (A),
- 70', Bonnah S. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
- 70', Marschalk M. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 70', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Bakker J. ↑,
- 79', Tahaui A. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
- 80', Pinto J. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Steffen M. ⚽, Zonneveld N. (A),
- 83', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Bannis N. ⚽, Schikora M. (A),
- 88', Camil Mmaee ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 88', Silva Timas I. ↓, Dicke F. ↑,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
41.9% | Draw
25.7% | Vitesse
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
MVV Maastricht - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.02) |
3.67 ↓
(3.75) |
2.89 ↓
(3.1) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Vitesse will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 20%). Vitesse (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
- Maastricht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vitesse is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Maastricht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Vitesse?
MVV Maastricht has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against MVV Maastricht?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Vitesse were as follows:
01.03.2025
Vitesse
-
MVV Maastricht
1:0
06.12.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Vitesse
2:2
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
