Ajax vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
australiaAustraliaESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet World
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.58
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
82% (372/451)80% (344/430)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.34
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (372/451)80% (344/430)
Long passes
52% (23/44)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
71% (70/98)64% (94/147)
Crosses
29% (2/7)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.74
Throw-ins
1223
Fouls
1114
Tackles
68% (13/19)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5649
Clearances
4216
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.342.62
Goals prevented
0.340.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gloukh O. , Godts M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
  • 39', Hillen R. 🟨,
  • 40', Itakura K. 🟨,
  • 41', Nassoh M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Konadu D. , Mokio J. ,
  • 46', Edvardsen O. , Moro R. ,
  • 46', 2 - 1, Taylor K. ,
  • 64', Balard M. 🟨,
  • 71', Balard M. 🟨,
  • 74', Talvitie J. , Brym C. ,
  • 76', Godts M. , Berghuis S. ,
  • 81', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 82', Lucassen B. , Valerius C. ,
  • 82', Nassoh M. , Paula R. ,
  • 84', Gloukh O. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 84', Klaassen D. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 88', Sowah K. , Versluis D. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
80.7%
Draw
13.3%
NAC Breda
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.8% 11% 6.2%

Ajax - NAC Breda Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.2
(1.13)
7.59
(8.5)
17.53
(15)
2.1%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ajax - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) Weghorst W. (Back Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Wijndal O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:6. (average 3.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 3.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - NAC Breda were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1
    18.08.2024 NAC Breda - Ajax 2:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV13111141:172434
    2Feyenoord1391333:161728
    3AZ Alkmaar1373326:21524
    4Nijmegen1363433:221121
    5Utrecht1362523:17620
    6Ajax1355323:19420
    7Groningen1362519:19020
    8Sittard1453620:22-218
    9Twente1345421:19217
    10Sparta Rotterdam1352615:25-1017
    11Heerenveen1445523:24-117
    12G.A. Eagles1344521:22-116
    13Excelsior1451814:24-1016
    14Zwolle1444618:30-1216
    15FC Volendam1335517:21-414
    16Heracles1441922:36-1413
    17NAC Breda1433815:23-812
    18Telstar1324715:22-710

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie