Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Australia | ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/451) | 80% (344/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/451) | 80% (344/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (70/98) | 64% (94/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
- 39', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 40', Itakura K. 🟨,
- 41', Nassoh M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Konadu D. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 46', Edvardsen O. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽,
- 64', Balard M. 🟨,
- 71', Balard M. 🟨,
- 74', Talvitie J. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
- 76', Godts M. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 81', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 82', Lucassen B. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
- 82', Nassoh M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 84', Gloukh O. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 84', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 88', Sowah K. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
80.7% | Draw
13.3% | NAC Breda
6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Ajax - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.2 ↑
(1.13) |
7.59 ↓
(8.5) |
17.53 ↑
(15) |
2.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ajax - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Breda (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Breda (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
Weghorst W.
(Back Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Breda: Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Wijndal O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:6. (average 3.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 3.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against NAC Breda?
Ajax has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Ajax?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - NAC Breda were as follows:
06.04.2025
Ajax
-
NAC Breda
3:1
18.08.2024
NAC Breda
-
Ajax
2:1
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
