Result
0:2
25/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 7 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (441/507) | 81% (320/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 3.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (441/507) | 81% (320/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (29/45) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (135/173) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (6/41) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.53 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
- 41', 0 - 2, Godts M. ⚽, Weghorst W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Paula R. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 56', Brym C. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
- 56', Soumano M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 56', Gloukh O. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
- 71', Balard M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 72', Berghuis S. ↓, Itakura K. ↑,
- 72', Regeer Y. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 78', Itakura K. 🟨,
- 82', Leemans C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 82', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 85', Weghorst W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
27.1% | Draw
25.2% | Ajax
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
NAC Breda - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↓
(3.52) |
3.73 ↓
(3.79) |
1.99 ↑
(1.95) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Ajax?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ajax will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ajax will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ajax: Jaros V.
(Knee Injury)
Tomiyasu T.
(Red Card)
Zinchenko O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Holtby L.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Fitz-Jim K.
(Inactive)
Heerkens J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 7:43. (average 0.5:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.6:3).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Ajax?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against NAC Breda?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Ajax were as follows:
27.09.2025
Ajax
-
NAC Breda
2:1
06.04.2025
Ajax
-
NAC Breda
3:1
18.08.2024
NAC Breda
-
Ajax
2:1
Latest results of NAC Breda
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
