Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 14
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/351) | 80% (363/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/351) | 80% (363/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (45/88) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 72% (114/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Widell C. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Naujoks N. (Pen),
- 45', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Hartjes L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 60', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
- 60', Lucassen B. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 60', Brym C. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 65', Yegoian I. 🟨,
- 74', Bergraaf J. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 74', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
- 74', Martens N. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
- 81', Zagre A. 🟨,
- 84', Meissen R. 🟨,
- 89', Sowah K. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 90+2', Odoi D. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
39.9% | Draw
26.4% | NAC Breda
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Excelsior - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.14) |
3.63 ↑
(3.53) |
2.86 ↓
(3.15) |
4.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Nadje C.
(Inactive)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
Yoon D.
(Inactive)
Zagre A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Breda: Candelaria J.
(Inactive)
Greiml L.
(Inactive)
Mahmutovic E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Martens N.
(Injury)
Widell C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Jensen F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against NAC Breda?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Excelsior?
NAC Breda has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - NAC Breda were as follows:
12.07.2025
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
0:1
20.07.2024
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
1:1
02.06.2024
Excelsior
-
NAC Breda
4:1
28.05.2024
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
6:2
22.07.2023
NAC Breda
-
Excelsior
2:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Ajax | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 41:27 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Groningen | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:31 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20:36 | -16 | 19 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Sittard | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Telstar | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
