Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
37.4%
Draw
26.7%
NAC Breda
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 26.9% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.2% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.
  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.16)
    3.56
    (3.45)
    2.66
    (3.07)
    5.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.
    • Fortuna Sittard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Breda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda were as follows:
    17.08.2025 NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard 2:1
    10.05.2025 Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda 1:0
    14.09.2024 NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard 1:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    21.03.2026 Zwolle - NAC Breda 2:1
    08.03.2026 NAC Breda - Feyenoord 3:3
    27.02.2026 Telstar - NAC Breda 3:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV29232482:404271
    2Feyenoord29166761:402154
    3Nijmegen29158671:472453
    4Twente291311549:311850
    5Ajax291212554:371748
    6AZ Alkmaar291361049:45445
    7Heerenveen29128953:47644
    8Sparta Rotterdam291261135:47-1242
    9Utrecht291181045:351041
    10Groningen291251242:37541
    11G.A. Eagles298111050:45535
    12Sittard291051443:54-1135
    13Zwolle29891238:58-2033
    14FC Volendam29771530:48-1828
    15Telstar29691438:48-1027
    16Excelsior29761629:49-2027
    17NAC Breda29591529:50-2124
    18Heracles29542034:74-4019

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie