Result
1:1
29/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (344/438) | 78% (290/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (344/438) | 78% (290/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/137) | 56% (34/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Lucassen B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lucassen B. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Seuntjens M. (Pen),
- 64', Valerius C. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
- 64', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Omarsson E. ↑,
- 67', Seuntjens M. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 71', Mahmutovic E. ↓, Kongolo T. ↑,
- 73', de Jonge T. 🟨,
- 82', Kwakman D. ↓, Schreuders J. ↑,
- 82', de Jonge T. 🟨,
- 84', Balard M. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 89', Valente L. ↓, Peersman M. ↑,
- 90', van Bergen T. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
- 90+2', Postema R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sowah K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Willumsson B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kemper B. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Leemans C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
32.9% | Draw
29.7% | Groningen
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NAC Breda's form might have worsened.Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NAC Breda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
NAC Breda - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.38) |
3.18 ↓
(3.26) |
2.53 ↓
(3.01) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 1.
- Breda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Groningen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Breda: Greiml L.
(Red Card)
Paula R.
(Injury)
Versluis D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Bouland S.
(Injury)
Turay F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Kostorz K.
(Inactive)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Breda won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Groningen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against NAC Breda?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Groningen were as follows:
09.08.2024
Groningen
-
NAC Breda
4:1
07.04.2024
Groningen
-
NAC Breda
1:1
06.10.2023
NAC Breda
-
Groningen
3:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
