NAC Breda vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - Groningen
Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.60
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
81% (420/521)78% (265/338)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.64
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
81% (420/521)78% (265/338)
Long passes
44% (27/61)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
69% (83/120)64% (72/112)
Crosses
38% (9/24)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.02
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
1614
Tackles
63% (10/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.641.05
Goals prevented
0.640.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Hillen R. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, de Jonge T. ,
  • 45+1', Janse D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lucassen B. , Valerius C. ,
  • 54', 0 - 2, van Bergen T. , Vaessen E. (A),
  • 58', Jensen F. , Brym C. ,
  • 58', Talvitie J. , Paula R. ,
  • 58', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 65', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 71', Sowah K. 🟨,
  • 73', Mercera T. , Prins W. ,
  • 73', van der Werff D. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 75', van Hooijdonk S. , Reulen P. ,
  • 84', van Bergen T. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 90', Taha Y. , Emeran N. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Nassoh M. , Brym C. (A),

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
27.5%
Draw
30.2%
Groningen
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 26.1% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.8% 38.1%

NAC Breda - Groningen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.04
(2.7)
3.53
(3.6)
2.47
(2.4)
-6.4%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Groningen will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 45.7%84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Groningen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Breda: Balard M. (Red Card) Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N. (Muscle Injury) Holder Y. (Injury) Land T. (Red Card) Willumsson B. (Injury) Zawada O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Rente M. (Injury) Schreuders J. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Groningen were as follows:
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    09.08.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 4:1
    07.04.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 1:1
    06.10.2023 NAC Breda - Groningen 3:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    Latest results of Groningen
    28.09.2025 Groningen - Feyenoord 0:1
    20.09.2025 Groningen - Telstar 2:0
    14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1
    23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Groningen 4:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord1191130:102028
    2PSV1191135:161928
    3AZ Alkmaar1173124:131124
    4Ajax1155121:15620
    5Groningen1161417:15219
    6Utrecht1151520:15516
    7Twente1244420:18216
    8Sittard1251618:20-216
    9Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    10Nijmegen1143427:20715
    11Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    12G.A. Eagles1134417:17013
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie