NAC Breda vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda).

Eredivisie - Round 27
Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	1.26
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
79% (344/438)	78% (290/371)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	1.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	0.93
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
31	11
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
79% (344/438)	78% (290/371)
Long passes
41% (26/64)	49% (31/63)
Passes in final third
66% (90/137)	56% (34/61)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	0.33
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
58% (15/26)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
60	55
Clearances Total
13	33
Interceptions
14	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.93	0.94
Goals prevented
-0.07	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Lucassen B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lucassen B. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Seuntjens M. (Pen),
64', Valerius C. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
64', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Omarsson E. ↑,
67', Seuntjens M. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
71', Mahmutovic E. ↓, Kongolo T. ↑,
73', de Jonge T. 🟨,
82', Kwakman D. ↓, Schreuders J. ↑,
82', de Jonge T. 🟨,
84', Balard M. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
89', Valente L. ↓, Peersman M. ↑,
90', van Bergen T. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
90+2', Postema R. 🟨,
90+2', Sowah K. 🟨,
90+3', Willumsson B. 🟨,
90+3', Kemper B. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Leemans C. (Pen),

Chances of winning

NAC Breda
32.9%

Draw
29.7%

Groningen
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NAC Breda's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NAC Breda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

NAC Breda - Groningen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.38)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	2.53 ↓ (3.01)	5.6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Groningen?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 1.
Breda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Groningen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Red Card) Paula R. (Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
There will not play in Groningen: Bouland S. (Injury) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Breda: Kostorz K. (Inactive)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Breda won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.3:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Groningen?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against NAC Breda?

Groningen has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Groningen were as follows:

09.08.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 4:1

07.04.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 1:1

06.10.2023 NAC Breda - Groningen 3:2

Latest results of NAC Breda

20.03.2025 Club Brugge - NAC Breda 2:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Almere City - NAC Breda 1:1 ✺

07.03.2025 NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Utrecht - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 NAC Breda - Feyenoord 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Groningen

19.03.2025 Schalke 04 - Groningen 1:0 ✺

16.03.2025 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 0:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Willem II - Groningen 1:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Groningen - NEC Nijmegen 2:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie