Result
0:0
10/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 18
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (387/478) | 76% (301/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (387/478) | 76% (301/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 49% (33/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (99/149) | 64% (58/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Valerius C. 🟨,
- 41', Sowah K. 🟨,
- 41', Peersman M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Soumano M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 65', Willumsson B. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 72', Taha Y. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
- 77', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 85', Brym C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 85', Kemper B. ↓, Candelaria J. ↑,
- 86', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 86', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 86', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Groningen
56.6% | Draw
25.1% | NAC Breda
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Groningen - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.64) |
3.77 ↓
(3.92) |
5.13 ↑
(5.12) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Groningen - NAC Breda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Breda (1.66) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - Breda (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Groningen will win
(29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Breda (votes: 3 - 21.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
- Groningen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breda has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Breda: Greiml L.
(Injury)
Jensen F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Candelaria J.
(Injury)
Kongolo T.
(Health problems)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against NAC Breda?
Groningen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Groningen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - NAC Breda were as follows:
03.10.2025
NAC Breda
-
Groningen
1:2
29.03.2025
NAC Breda
-
Groningen
1:1
09.08.2024
Groningen
-
NAC Breda
4:1
07.04.2024
Groningen
-
NAC Breda
1:1
06.10.2023
NAC Breda
-
Groningen
3:2
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
