Groningen vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
10/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 18
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.300.82
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
52
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
34
Passes
81% (387/478)76% (301/394)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.300.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.27
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
67
Passes
81% (387/478)76% (301/394)
Long passes
43% (15/35)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
66% (99/149)64% (58/91)
Crosses
13% (3/23)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.74
Throw ins
2524
Fouls
76
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4559
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.271.35
Goals prevented
1.271.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Valerius C. 🟨,
  • 41', Sowah K. 🟨,
  • 41', Peersman M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Soumano M. , Ayew A. ,
  • 65', Willumsson B. , Zawada O. ,
  • 72', Taha Y. , van der Werff D. ,
  • 77', van Hooijdonk S. , Nassoh M. ,
  • 85', Brym C. , Talvitie J. ,
  • 85', Kemper B. , Candelaria J. ,
  • 86', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 86', de Jonge T. , Land T. ,
  • 86', Peersman M. , Prins W. ,

Chances of winning


Groningen
56.6%
Draw
25.1%
NAC Breda
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 24.1% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 23.8% 18.1%

Groningen - NAC Breda Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.67
(1.64)
3.77
(3.92)
5.13
(5.12)
6%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Groningen - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: Groningen will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.38%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
    • Groningen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Breda has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury) Jensen F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Candelaria J. (Injury) Kongolo T. (Health problems)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - NAC Breda were as follows:
    03.10.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:2
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    09.08.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 4:1
    07.04.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 1:1
    06.10.2023 NAC Breda - Groningen 3:2
    Latest results of Groningen
    06.01.2026 Groningen - Bodø Glimt 0:4
    13.12.2025 Groningen - Volendam 3:0
    05.12.2025 Excelsior - Groningen 0:2
    02.12.2025 Ajax - Groningen 2:0
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    20.12.2025 NAC Breda - Telstar 0:1
    14.12.2025 NAC Breda - Utrecht 1:1
    29.11.2025 Excelsior - NAC Breda 1:0
    22.11.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie