Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 8
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (420/521) | 78% (265/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (420/521) | 78% (265/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 69% (83/120) | 64% (72/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.64 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.64 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, de Jonge T. ⚽,
- 45+1', Janse D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lucassen B. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, van Bergen T. ⚽, Vaessen E. (A),
- 58', Jensen F. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
- 58', Talvitie J. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 58', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 65', Greiml L. 🟨,
- 71', Sowah K. 🟨,
- 73', Mercera T. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 73', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 75', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 84', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 90', Taha Y. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Nassoh M. ⚽, Brym C. (A),
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
27.5% | Draw
30.2% | Groningen
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NAC Breda's form might have worsened.Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NAC Breda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
NAC Breda - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(2.7) |
3.53 ↓
(3.6) |
2.47 ↑
(2.4) |
-6.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Groningen will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Groningen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Breda: Balard M.
(Red Card)
Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N.
(Muscle Injury)
Holder Y.
(Injury)
Land T.
(Red Card)
Willumsson B.
(Injury)
Zawada O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Groningen: Rente M.
(Injury)
Schreuders J.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Groningen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against NAC Breda?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Groningen were as follows:
29.03.2025
NAC Breda
-
Groningen
1:1
09.08.2024
Groningen
-
NAC Breda
4:1
07.04.2024
Groningen
-
NAC Breda
1:1
06.10.2023
NAC Breda
-
Groningen
3:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
