NAC Breda vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.60
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
81% (420/521)78% (265/338)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.64
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
81% (420/521)78% (265/338)
Long passes
44% (27/61)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
69% (83/120)64% (72/112)
Crosses
38% (9/24)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.02
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
1614
Tackles
63% (10/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.641.05
Goals prevented
0.640.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Hillen R. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, de Jonge T. ,
  • 45+1', Janse D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lucassen B. , Valerius C. ,
  • 54', 0 - 2, van Bergen T. , Vaessen E. (A),
  • 58', Jensen F. , Brym C. ,
  • 58', Talvitie J. , Paula R. ,
  • 58', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 65', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 71', Sowah K. 🟨,
  • 73', Mercera T. , Prins W. ,
  • 73', van der Werff D. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 75', van Hooijdonk S. , Reulen P. ,
  • 84', van Bergen T. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 90', Taha Y. , Emeran N. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Nassoh M. , Brym C. (A),

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
27.5%
Draw
30.2%
Groningen
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 26.1% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.8% 38.1%

NAC Breda - Groningen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.04
(2.7)
3.53
(3.6)
2.47
(2.4)
-6.4%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Groningen will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 45.7%84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Groningen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Breda: Balard M. (Red Card) Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N. (Muscle Injury) Holder Y. (Injury) Land T. (Red Card) Willumsson B. (Injury) Zawada O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Rente M. (Injury) Schreuders J. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Groningen were as follows:
    29.03.2025 NAC Breda - Groningen 1:1
    09.08.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 4:1
    07.04.2024 Groningen - NAC Breda 1:1
    06.10.2023 NAC Breda - Groningen 3:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    Latest results of Groningen
    28.09.2025 Groningen - Feyenoord 0:1
    20.09.2025 Groningen - Telstar 2:0
    14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1
    23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Groningen 4:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV13111141:172434
    2Feyenoord1391333:161728
    3AZ Alkmaar1373326:21524
    4Nijmegen1473436:231324
    5Utrecht1362523:17620
    6Ajax1355323:19420
    7Groningen1362519:19020
    8Sittard1453620:22-218
    9Twente1345421:19217
    10Heerenveen1445523:24-117
    11Sparta Rotterdam1452716:28-1217
    12G.A. Eagles1344521:22-116
    13Excelsior1451814:24-1016
    14Zwolle1444618:30-1216
    15FC Volendam1335517:21-414
    16Heracles1441922:36-1413
    17NAC Breda1433815:23-812
    18Telstar1324715:22-710

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie