Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 32
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (364/457) | 73% (269/367) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 3.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (364/457) | 73% (269/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 36% (27/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (67/115) | 53% (55/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.86 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, de Jonge T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Widell C. ⚽, Hansson E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 1, Taha Y. ⚽, de Jonge T. (A),
- 56', van der Werff D. ↓, Metu R. ↑,
- 60', Hansson E. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 2, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Meissen R. (A),
- 71', Land T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 77', Hartjes L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 77', Naujoks N. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 85', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
- 87', Taha Y. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 87', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, de Regt G. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
Chances of winning
Groningen
55% | Draw
23.7% | Excelsior
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Groningen aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Groningen - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.76) |
4.02 ↓
(4.03) |
4.46 ↑
(4.45) |
5.2%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Groningen - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Groningen (2.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Groningen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M.
(Injury)
Resink S.
(Knee Injury)
Zawada O.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Henderikx S.
(Inactive)
Jonathans M.
(Knee Injury)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Excelsior?
Groningen has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Groningen?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Excelsior were as follows:
05.12.2025
Excelsior
-
Groningen
0:2
16.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Groningen
0:2
25.02.2023
Groningen
-
Excelsior
3:0
08.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Groningen
1:0
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of Excelsior
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
