Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 3
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.10 | 0.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
9 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
79% (324/409) | 76% (301/395) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.10 | 0.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.69 | 0.30 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
9 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
79% (324/409) | 76% (301/395) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (21/55) | 57% (30/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (91/138) | 63% (52/82) |
Crosses |
---|
45% (9/20) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
4.31 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
40% (6/15) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.30 | 2.69 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.30 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Chery T. (Pen),
- 22', Valerius C. 🟨,
- 22', Mahmutovic E. 🟨,
- 24', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 45', Pereira B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Nassoh M. 🟨,
- 47', 2 - 0, Onal B. ⚽, Verdonk C. (A),
- 58', Ouaissa S. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 66', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
- 71', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 71', Linssen B. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, van Crooij V. ⚽, Misidjan V. (A),
- 80', Holtby L. ↓, Candelaria J. ↑,
- 80', Balard M. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 80', Talvitie J. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,
- 84', Pereira B. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
- 84', Onal B. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen 60.7% | Draw 21.5% | NAC Breda 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↑ (1.57) |
4.5 ↑ (4.18) |
5.48 ↑ (5.2) |
4.1% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Breda will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- Nijmegen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Breda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Breda: Brym C.
(Arm Injury)
Greiml L.
(Broken Hand)
Jensen F.
(Toe Injury)
Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against NAC Breda?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against NEC Nijmegen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:
14.05.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
NAC Breda
3:0
05.10.2024
NAC Breda
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 16 |
2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
8 | Nijmegen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 9 |
9 | Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
14 | NAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
16 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie