NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Goffertstadion (Nijmegen).

Eredivisie - Round 33
Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.13	1.23
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
5	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
83% (368/442)	87% (463/531)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.19	0.00
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
5	0
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
17	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
9	5
Passes
83% (368/442)	87% (463/531)
Long passes
49% (33/68)	65% (51/78)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)	70% (92/131)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.92
Throw-ins
25	11
Fouls
5	9
Tackles
45% (5/11)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
35	37
Clearances
17	19
Interceptions
12	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	2.19
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Pereira B. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Shiogai K. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
65', Ouwejan T. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
65', Hansen S. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
65', Sowah K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
65', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
70', 3 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
76', Larsen L. O. ↓, Schone L. ↑,
76', Jensen F. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
84', Paula R. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
90+2', Schone L. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

NEC Nijmegen
65.1%

Draw
20.4%

NAC Breda
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.28)	4.64 ↑ (3.31)	6.48 ↑ (3.19)	4.9% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?

Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (39 of 42 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.07% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Breda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Ogawa K. (Injury) van Crooij V. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Nijmegen: Hansen S. (Inactive) Hoedemakers M. (Inactive) Proper D. (Head Injury) Sandler P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against NAC Breda?

NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against NEC Nijmegen?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:

05.10.2024 NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen 1:0

Latest results of NEC Nijmegen

11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3 ✺

03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺

Latest results of NAC Breda

10.05.2025 Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3 ✺

24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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