Result
3:0
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 33
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.13 | 1.23 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (368/442) | 87% (463/531) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.13 | 1.23 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.19 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (368/442) | 87% (463/531) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (33/68) | 65% (51/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (66/100) | 70% (92/131) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (7/21) | 17% (4/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.53 | 0.92 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
45% (5/11) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.19 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Pereira B. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Shiogai K. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
- 65', Ouwejan T. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 65', Hansen S. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 65', Sowah K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 65', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 70', 3 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 76', Larsen L. O. ↓, Schone L. ↑,
- 76', Jensen F. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
- 84', Paula R. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
- 90+2', Schone L. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen 65.1% | Draw 20.4% | NAC Breda 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-25.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+16.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (2.28) |
4.64 ↑ (3.31) |
6.48 ↑ (3.19) |
4.9% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(39 of 42 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.07% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
- Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Injury)
van Crooij V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B.
(Knee Injury)
Versluis D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Hansen S.
(Inactive)
Hoedemakers M.
(Inactive)
Proper D.
(Head Injury)
Sandler P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against NAC Breda?
NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against NEC Nijmegen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:
05.10.2024
NAC Breda
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie