NAC Breda vs Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 16
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
87% (464/535)84% (347/414)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.132.82
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (464/535)84% (347/414)
Long passes
48% (16/33)36% (14/39)
Passes in final third
81% (111/137)62% (42/68)
Crosses
6% (1/18)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.50
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1012
Tackles
35% (6/17)43% (9/21)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
1713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.821.13
Goals prevented
1.820.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Odoi D. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Paula R. , Talvitie J. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, de Wit D. , El Karouani S. (A),
  • 36', Leemans C. 🟨,
  • 38', de Wit D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Leemans C. , Nassoh M. ,
  • 67', Paula R. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 67', Holtby L. , Ghalidi B. ,
  • 68', Zechiel G. , Bozdogan C. ,
  • 68', de Wit D. , Haller S. ,
  • 68', Rodriguez M. , Blake A. ,
  • 76', Vesterlund N. 🟨,
  • 81', Haller S. , Demircan E. ,
  • 81', Vesterlund N. , Horemans S. ,
  • 83', Talvitie J. , Soumano M. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
40.1%
Draw
27.6%
Utrecht
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 26.7% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 26.8% 43.7%

NAC Breda - Utrecht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.37
(3.2)
3.43
(3.53)
2.92
(2.14)
5.6%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Utrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Utrecht will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Breda: Candelaria J. (Injury) Greiml L. (Injury) Jensen F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Utrecht: Min D. (Injury) Murkin D. (Inactive) van den Berg D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Kongolo T. (Health problems) Soumano M. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Utrecht: Didden M. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.6:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Utrecht were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Utrecht - NAC Breda 1:0
    24.08.2024 NAC Breda - Utrecht 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    29.11.2025 Excelsior - NAC Breda 1:0
    22.11.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:1
    08.11.2025 Volendam - NAC Breda 2:1
    Latest results of Utrecht
    07.12.2025 Utrecht - Twente 1:1
    30.11.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht 2:2
    27.11.2025 Betis - Utrecht 2:1
    23.11.2025 Telstar - Utrecht 1:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie