Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 16
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/535) | 84% (347/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/535) | 84% (347/414) |
| Long passes |
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| 48% (16/33) | 36% (14/39) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 81% (111/137) | 62% (42/68) |
| Crosses |
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| 6% (1/18) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.98 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
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| 13 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
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| 17 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.82 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.82 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Odoi D. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Paula R. ⚽, Talvitie J. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, de Wit D. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 36', Leemans C. 🟨,
- 38', de Wit D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Leemans C. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 67', Paula R. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
- 67', Holtby L. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
- 68', Zechiel G. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 68', de Wit D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez M. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 76', Vesterlund N. 🟨,
- 81', Haller S. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
- 81', Vesterlund N. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
- 83', Talvitie J. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
40.1% | Draw
27.6% | Utrecht
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NAC Breda - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(3.2) |
3.43 ↓
(3.53) |
2.92 ↑
(2.14) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Utrecht will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 21.4% – 67.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 2 - 40%). Utrecht (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Breda: Candelaria J.
(Injury)
Greiml L.
(Injury)
Jensen F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Min D.
(Injury)
Murkin D.
(Inactive)
van den Berg D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Kongolo T.
(Health problems)
Soumano M.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Didden M.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Utrecht?
NAC Breda has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against NAC Breda?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Utrecht were as follows:
01.03.2025
Utrecht
-
NAC Breda
1:0
24.08.2024
NAC Breda
-
Utrecht
1:2
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
