Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (371/469) | 68% (202/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (371/469) | 68% (202/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/65) | 41% (28/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/110) | 55% (69/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Colman C. ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, Caballero G. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Spetale A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Caceres L. ↓, Gamarra Escobar R. A. ↑,
- 46', Riveros M. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
- 47', Lezcano D. 🟨,
- 53', Spetale A. 🟨,
- 63', Ortiz C. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 63', Arrua C. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
- 69', Rojas R. ↓, Lezcano D. ↑,
- 78', Candia W. ↓, Jorge Nunez ↑,
- 85', Jorge Nunez 🟨,
- 86', Garcia R. ↓, Colman D. ↑,
- 87', Caballero G. 🟨,
- 87', Caballero G. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 88', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
- 90+3', Chena J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Tembetary
28.2% | Draw
30.2% | Nacional Asuncion
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tembetary's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tembetary, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.7) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
2.23 ↓
(2.45) |
8%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tembetary will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
- Tembetary has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tembetary won against Nacional Asuncion?
Atlético Tembetary has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Atlético Tembetary?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
01.03.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Atlético Tembetary
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Tembetary
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
