Atlético Tembetary vs Nacional Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion
Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
79% (371/469)68% (202/298)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.67
Total shots
814
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
79% (371/469)68% (202/298)
Long passes
52% (34/65)41% (28/69)
Passes in final third
56% (62/110)55% (69/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.87
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1211
Tackles
63% (5/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
2930
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.670.60
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Colman C. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Caballero G. , Arrua C. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Spetale A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Caceres L. , Gamarra Escobar R. A. ,
  • 46', Riveros M. , Caceres E. ,
  • 47', Lezcano D. 🟨,
  • 53', Spetale A. 🟨,
  • 63', Ortiz C. , Meza L. ,
  • 63', Arrua C. , Caceres D. ,
  • 69', Rojas R. , Lezcano D. ,
  • 78', Candia W. , Jorge Nunez ,
  • 85', Jorge Nunez 🟨,
  • 86', Garcia R. , Colman D. ,
  • 87', Caballero G. 🟨,
  • 87', Caballero G. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 88', Alfaro J. L. , Canete Torres A. D. ,
  • 90+3', Chena J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Tembetary
28.2%
Draw
30.2%
Nacional Asuncion
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 29.3% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 29.3% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tembetary's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tembetary, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.7)
    3.04
    (3.1)
    2.23
    (2.45)
    8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tembetary will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
    • Tembetary has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nacional is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 1:0
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

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