Result
0:2
10/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 20
- Referee: Quinonez A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (244/334) | 83% (361/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (244/334) | 83% (361/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 65% (43/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/129) | 72% (89/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Arrua C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Zarate D. ↓, Amarilla J. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Alfaro J. F. ⚽, Prieto R. (A),
- 60', Esteche J. F. ↓, Cristaldo A. ↑,
- 60', Candia W. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 73', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
- 74', Benitez H. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 74', Amarilla J. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Prieto R. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
- 78', Colman D. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
- 80', Marotta N. 🟨,
- 85', Arrua C. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
- 85', Gutierrez T. ↓, Maciel A. R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Tembetary
20.1% | Draw
26.2% | Nacional Asuncion
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↑
(4.27) |
3.55 ↑
(3.54) |
1.74 ↓
(1.76) |
7.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Tembetary (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Asuncion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tembetary (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5).
- Recent performances by Tembetary have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nacional has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tembetary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tembetary won against Nacional Asuncion?
Atlético Tembetary has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Atlético Tembetary?
Nacional Asuncion has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
22.08.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Atlético Tembetary
1:1
09.05.2025
Atlético Tembetary
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:2
01.03.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Atlético Tembetary
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Tembetary
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
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