General Caballero JLM vs Nacional Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion
Result
1:1
06/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.89
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
63% (159/253)72% (277/385)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.67
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
63% (159/253)72% (277/385)
Long passes
32% (21/66)43% (36/83)
Passes in final third
50% (49/98)45% (48/107)
Crosses
0% (0/6)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.56
Throw-ins
1330
Fouls
1816
Tackles
78% (7/9)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
6317
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.670.27
Goals prevented
0.67-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Molinas G. , Sanchez A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez A. , Schabus M. ,
  • 46', Bailone I. , Benitez H. ,
  • 57', Caceres D. 🟨,
  • 57', Schabus M. 🟨,
  • 59', Torales S. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 59', Franco J. , Aguilera A. D. ,
  • 63', Jara F. , Meza L. ,
  • 63', Arrua C. , Colman C. ,
  • 64', Valdez I. , Prieto R. ,
  • 71', Caceres L. 🟨,
  • 76', Alfaro J. F. , Almeida M. ,
  • 79', Espinola C. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Colman C. , Meza L. (A),
  • 84', Vega G. , Baigorria A. ,
  • 86', Caceres L. 🟥,
  • 90+2', Schabus M. , Arguello V. ,
  • 90+5', Arguello V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


General Caballero JLM
25.3%
Draw
28.9%
Nacional Asuncion
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 28.6% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 28.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General Caballero JLM's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General Caballero JLM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (3)
    3.18
    (3.25)
    2.03
    (2.3)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. General Caballero will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM 3:0
    30.05.2025 General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion 2:4
    30.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM 1:0
    25.10.2024 Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM 1:0
    17.08.2024 General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion 0:0
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani17113336:152136
    2Cerro Porteno1796227:171033
    32 de Mayo1785421:17429
    4Nacional Asuncion1776421:15627
    5Sportivo Trinidense1775522:19326
    6Recoleta1773726:24224
    7Sp. Luqueno1763820:26-621
    8General Caballero JLM1755716:24-820
    9Olimpia Asuncion1755722:27-520
    10Libertad Asuncion1746718:18018
    11Ameliano17431018:31-1315
    12Atl. Tembetary17241117:31-1410

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