Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (204/293) | 72% (205/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (204/293) | 72% (205/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (29/74) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (68/124) | 63% (65/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Arrua C. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Valdez I. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
- 21', 3 - 0, Gaona Lugo O. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
- 22', Ledesma A. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 32', Capasso M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Leguizamon I. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
- 46', Barreto Viera O. J. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
- 46', Cantero A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 47', 4 - 0, Arrua C. ⚽, Jara F. (A),
- 47', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
- 48', 4 - 1, Ortiz R. ⚽, Martinez D. (A),
- 51', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 66', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
- 74', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 74', Arrua C. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 74', Ferreira S. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
- 87', Quintana H. 🟨,
- 89', Valdez I. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 90', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
41.2% | Draw
30.2% | Olimpia Asuncion
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.56) |
3.19 ↑
(2.98) |
3.43 ↑
(2.85) |
4.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
06.07.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:1
25.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
22.03.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:1
24.11.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:1
30.10.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:2
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
