Result
3:0
04/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/480) | 70% (174/247) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/480) | 70% (174/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 30% (17/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (78/113) | 47% (31/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 21', Coronel M. 🟨,
- 44', Santacruz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', Rojas S. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 0, Alcaraz A. ⚽, Caceres R. (A),
- 53', Alcaraz A. 🟨,
- 59', Lezcano R. ↓, Delmas E. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Vargas G. ⚽, Delmas E. (A),
- 62', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 62', Gonzales L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽,
- 69', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 72', Ortiz R. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
- 72', Leguizamon I. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 79', Vargas G. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
- 79', Alcaraz A. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
- 80', Arrua C. 🟨,
- 81', Santacruz J. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
- 81', Valdez I. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 88', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Asuncion
46.1% | Draw
29.6% | Nacional Asuncion
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Asuncion's performance.Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.34) |
3.14 ↑
(3.1) |
3.83 ↑
(3.13) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.
- Olimpia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Olimpia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
08.02.2026
Nacional Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
14.09.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
4:1
06.07.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:1
25.05.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
22.03.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
