Result
0:0
22/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (118/184) | 87% (408/468) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (118/184) | 87% (408/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 68% (32/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 76% (122/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 21% (8/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Pinatares B. 🟥,
- 40', Coronel M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Alvarez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Benitez H. A. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 46', Valdez I. ↓, Gonzales L. ↑,
- 46', Coronel M. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
- 56', Caceres L. 🟨,
- 63', Prieto R. ↓, Pelozo F. ↑,
- 66', Villamayor H. 🟥,
- 72', Santacruz J. 🟨,
- 73', Alvarez A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 74', Barrios J. ↓, Torres I. ↑,
- 75', Espinola C. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 90', Garrone M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Meza Montiel D. ↓, Aveiro P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
21.1% | Draw
28.6% | Nacional Asuncion
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.38 ↑
(3.41) |
3.25 ↓
(3.51) |
1.84 ↓
(2.03) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Sportivo San Lorenzo (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Nacional (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
24.01.2026
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
