Result
2:1
14/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 111 | 149 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Varela J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nunez C. ↓, Blasi B. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Bailone I. (Pen),
- 54', 1 - 1, Nandin D. ⚽, Varela J. (A),
- 59', De Los Santos E. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Bueno G. ⚽, Urretaviscaya J. (A),
- 70', Blas Caceres ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 77', Monzon L. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
- 81', Caballero G. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 81', Duarte D. ↓, Arevalo R. ↑,
- 87', Alfaro J. ↓, Velazco F. ↑,
- 90', Nandin D. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 90+1', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 90+4', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
- 90+5', Santacruz Rodas J. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
58.6% | Draw
24.8% | Nacional Asuncion
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Montevideo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.78) |
3.76 ↑
(3.35) |
5.64 ↑
(4.42) |
7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional Asuncion is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Racing is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Nacional Asuncion?
Racing Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Racing Montevideo?
Nacional Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
25.04.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Racing Montevideo
2:2
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
