Racing Montevideo vs Nacional Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion
Result
2:1
14/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.50
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1019
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
814
Free Kicks
149
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
2125
Goalkeeper Saves
40
Fouls
711
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
111149
Dangerous Attacks
3344

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Varela J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Nunez C. , Blasi B. ,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Bailone I. (Pen),
  • 54', 1 - 1, Nandin D. , Varela J. (A),
  • 59', De Los Santos E. , Alaniz A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Bueno G. , Urretaviscaya J. (A),
  • 70', Blas Caceres , Gomez A. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez L. , Pereira A. ,
  • 77', Monzon L. , Mendez E. ,
  • 81', Caballero G. , Gaona Lugo O. ,
  • 81', Duarte D. , Arevalo R. ,
  • 87', Alfaro J. , Velazco F. ,
  • 90', Nandin D. , Rivero J. ,
  • 90+1', Urretaviscaya J. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 90+4', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Santacruz Rodas J. F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
58.6%
Draw
24.8%
Nacional Asuncion
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 27.4% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 26.8% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.
  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.78)
    3.76
    (3.35)
    5.64
    (4.42)
    7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional Asuncion is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Racing is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
    25.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Racing Montevideo 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2