Nacional Montevideo vs Central Español – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
40
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
104
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
72
Corner kicks
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Navarro S. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Montiel M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bais F. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Munoz F. ,
  • 57', Ancheta E. , Pintado J. ,
  • 57', Veron T. , Lopez N. ,
  • 62', Aguilera M. , Muniz R. ,
  • 68', Lodeiro N. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 74', Alonso M. , Dupont J. ,
  • 74', Tarragona R. , Pino L. ,
  • 80', Boggio L. , Barcia B. ,
  • 81', Munoz F. , Sosa F. ,
  • 88', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rodolfo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
65.3%
Draw
21.3%
Central Español
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 20% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 19% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Central Español Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.39)
    4.37
    (4.67)
    7.02
    (7.25)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1372421:15623
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    7Montevideo City1354419:14519
    8Nacional1361620:18219
    9Danubio1346317:17018
    10Liverpool M1345417:17017
    11Wanderers1352614:19-517
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Progreso1324711:20-910
    15CA Cerro132478:19-1110
    16Juventud1323813:20-79

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