Result
3:1
08/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Cruz A. 🟨,
- 9', Risso F. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Cruz A. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 34', Pintado J. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Veron T. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 46', Martinez R. ↓, Boggio L. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 53', 3 - 1, Izaguirre M. ⚽,
- 56', Mendez S. 🟨,
- 62', Roldan L. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
- 62', Mimbacas F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 62', Gomez G. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
- 67', Dos Santos A. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
- 67', Lopez N. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
- 73', Carneiro G. 🟨,
- 80', Cruz A. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
- 84', Alaniz A. 🟨,
- 88', Cecchini E. ↓, Pernicone P. ↑,
- 90+1', Larregui B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Caceres M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juventud de Las Piedras
12.8% | Draw
21.2% | Nacional Montevideo
66% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.3 ↓
(7.48) |
4.4 ↓
(4.48) |
1.41 ↑
(1.36) |
7.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Nacional (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventud de Las Piedras won against Nacional Montevideo?
Juventud de Las Piedras has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Juventud de Las Piedras?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
28.09.2025
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:0
18.06.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Juventud de Las Piedras
4:1
30.03.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Juventud de Las Piedras
1:2
Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Central Esp | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Progreso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Boston River | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
