Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras
Result
4:1
18/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
126
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Mereles E. ,
  • 21', Rossi I. 🟨,
  • 25', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Rodriguez I. (Own goal),
  • 38', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Otero R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Rodriguez T. , Larregui B. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Peralta R. ,
  • 50', 3 - 0, Baez Corradi G. , Mereles E. (A),
  • 60', Petit G. , Herazo D. ,
  • 63', Perez F. , Lago P. ,
  • 67', Mereles E. , Recoba J. ,
  • 68', Otero R. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 74', 4 - 0, Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 79', Urretaviscaya J. , Boselli J. ,
  • 79', Mas E. , Gomez N. ,
  • 83', Oliva C. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 83', Lopez N. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Rodriguez A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
63%
Draw
21.8%
Juventud de Las Piedras
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.1% 20.5% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 19.5% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.42)
    4.22
    (4.57)
    6.1
    (7.01)
    7.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
    • Nacional is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Juventud is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras 1:2
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1