Nacional Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers
Result
3:1
26/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
126
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 29', Garcia E. 🟨,
  • 39', Zazpe L. 🟨,
  • 40', Lopez N. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Guzman S. , Rivero R. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Lopez N. ,
  • 54', Oliva C. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 63', Herazo D. , Petit G. ,
  • 65', Zeballos J. , Royon N. ,
  • 65', Veglio B. , Crucci E. ,
  • 71', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Otero R. ,
  • 71', Recoba J. , Arady B. ,
  • 74', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. , Viudez T. ,
  • 82', Cerro F. , Wagner G. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Boggio L. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
70.4%
Draw
18.8%
Montevideo Wanderers
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 18.6% 11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1% 17.2% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Nacional Montevideo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.32)
    4.96
    (5)
    8.7
    (8.39)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 5.
    • Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wanderers is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Wanderers have a series of home games.
    • In this match Nacional is certain favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 39:19 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:8 (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo 0:2
    02.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:0
    26.11.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:1
    24.04.2023 Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River11004:043
    2Nacional11005:233
    3Miramar11003:123
    4Cerro Largo11002:023
    5Penarol11002:113
    6Racing Montevideo11001:013
    7CA Cerro10100:001
    8Liverpool M10100:001
    9Danubio10100:001
    10River Plate10100:001
    11Progreso10011:2-10
    12Wanderers10010:1-10
    13Plaza Colonia10011:3-20
    14Juventud10010:2-20
    15Montevideo City10012:5-30
    16Defensor Sp10010:4-40

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