Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
26/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
51
Total shots
39
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Lopez N. ,
  • 57', Gabriel G. 🟨,
  • 57', Otero R. , Mereles E. ,
  • 57', Lodeiro N. , de los Santos M. ,
  • 65', de los Santos M. 🟨,
  • 66', Parzajuk K. 🟨,
  • 70', Parzajuk K. , Guzman S. ,
  • 71', Rodriguez L. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 73', Gabriel G. , Teuten A. ,
  • 81', Romero D. , Ebere C. ,
  • 85', Wagner G. , Martin B. ,
  • 85', Luna J. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 87', Guzman S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', da Silva J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Martin B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
14.9%
Draw
23%
Nacional Montevideo
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 23.7% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 23.3% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.23
    (5.62)
    4.01
    (3.89)
    1.51
    (1.54)
    7.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 0.
    • Wanderers is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Wanderers has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:1
    15.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo 0:2
    02.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:0
    26.11.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:1
    24.04.2023 Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo 0:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Esp33006:159
    2Nacional32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32104:227
    4Maldonado32017:436
    5Penarol32016:426
    6Danubio32013:4-16
    7Racing Montevideo31117:524
    8Montevideo City31117:524
    9Albion31114:224
    10Liverpool M31114:404
    11Wanderers31113:6-34
    12Cerro Largo31022:3-13
    13Juventud30122:4-21
    14Boston River30121:4-31
    15CA Cerro30121:5-41
    16Progreso30030:6-60

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