Result
3:1
26/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Russia | Viju+ Sport |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Total shots |
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12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 29', Garcia E. 🟨,
- 39', Zazpe L. 🟨,
- 40', Lopez N. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Guzman S. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 54', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 63', Herazo D. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 65', Zeballos J. ↓, Royon N. ↑,
- 65', Veglio B. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
- 71', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 71', Recoba J. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
- 74', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
- 82', Cerro F. ↓, Wagner G. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Boggio L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo 70.4% | Draw 18.8% | Montevideo Wanderers 10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Nacional Montevideo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 (1.32) |
4.96 ↓ (5) |
8.7 ↑ (8.39) |
7.2% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 5.
- Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Wanderers is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Wanderers have a series of home games.
- In this match Nacional is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 39:19 (average 2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:8 (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Nacional Montevideo?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
15.09.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:2
02.03.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
3:0
26.11.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
3:1
24.04.2023
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Miramar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Racing Montevideo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Liverpool M | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Danubio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Progreso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
14 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Montevideo City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Defensor Sp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
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