Result
3:1
26/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 29', Garcia E. 🟨,
- 39', Zazpe L. 🟨,
- 40', Lopez N. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Guzman S. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 54', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 63', Herazo D. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 65', Zeballos J. ↓, Royon N. ↑,
- 65', Veglio B. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
- 71', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 71', Recoba J. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
- 74', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
- 82', Cerro F. ↓, Wagner G. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Boggio L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
70.4% | Draw
18.8% | Montevideo Wanderers
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Nacional Montevideo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32
(1.32) |
4.96 ↓
(5) |
8.7 ↑
(8.39) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 5.
- Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Wanderers is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Wanderers have a series of home games.
- In this match Nacional is certain favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 39:19 (average 2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:8 (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Nacional Montevideo?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
15.09.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:2
02.03.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
3:0
26.11.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
3:1
24.04.2023
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Danubio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
