Peñarol de Montevideo vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo
Result
3:0
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
115
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', Otero R. 🟨,
  • 19', Millan J. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Silvera M. ,
  • 42', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Gularte E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Otero R. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 60', Patino J. , Romero D. ,
  • 60', Oliva C. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 60', Mereles E. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 62', Olivera M. 🟨,
  • 68', Cabrera J. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 68', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 76', Lopez N. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 77', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 77', Gularte E. , Suarez D. ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Arezo M. ,
  • 88', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 89', Carneiro G. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernandez L. , Villalba H. ,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
38.4%
Draw
30.4%
Nacional Montevideo
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 32.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 32.4% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.52)
    3.05
    (2.87)
    2.98
    (3.04)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:0
    09.02.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    26.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    20.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:1
    06.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol861116:61019
    2Boston River853017:41318
    3Montevideo City852116:9717
    4Nacional861119:81116
    5Cerro Largo85128:4416
    6Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    7CA Cerro94148:10-213
    8Liverpool M833210:9112
    9Danubio831412:9310
    10Miramar831413:11210
    11Progreso831410:11-110
    12Racing Montevideo83147:15-810
    13Juventud83055:8-39
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate80262:13-112
    16Plaza Colonia80175:19-141

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