Result
1:0 penalties
06/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Herrera N. 🟨,
- 41', Lopez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Fernandez L. 🟨,
- 54', Millan J. 🟨,
- 59', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, David Terans ↑,
- 63', Otero R. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 63', Petit G. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 68', Recoba J. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 76', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 78', Peirano P. 🟨,
- 80', Carneiro G. 🟨,
- 80', Cabrera J. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 88', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Morales L. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
- 90+1', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 100', Silvera M. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 105', Herrera N. ↓, Leo Coelho ↑,
- 105+1', Sosa I. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 107', Lopez N. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 117', Olivera M. 🟨,
- 120+1', Remedi E. 🟥,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, David Terans (Pen),
- 1, Carneiro G. (Pen),
- 2, Fernandez L. (Pen),
- 2, Coates S. (Pen),
- 3, Leo Coelho (Pen),
- 3, Boggio L. (Pen),
- 4, Muhlethaler S. (Pen),
- 4, Mejia L. (Pen),
- 5, Umpierrez L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
33.3% | Draw
31.6% | Nacional Montevideo
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.23) |
2.94 ↓
(3.04) |
2.66 ↓
(3.52) |
7.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 0.
- Peñarol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
09.02.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
26.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
20.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:1
06.10.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
04.08.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Draw
Torneo Intermedio - Play OffsFinal
