Peñarol de Montevideo vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo
Result
3:0
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
115
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', Otero R. 🟨,
  • 19', Millan J. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Silvera M. ,
  • 42', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Gularte E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Otero R. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 60', Patino J. , Romero D. ,
  • 60', Oliva C. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 60', Mereles E. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 62', Olivera M. 🟨,
  • 68', Cabrera J. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 68', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 76', Lopez N. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 77', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 77', Gularte E. , Suarez D. ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Arezo M. ,
  • 88', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 89', Carneiro G. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernandez L. , Villalba H. ,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
38.4%
Draw
30.4%
Nacional Montevideo
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 32.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 32.4% 30.5%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.44
(2.52)
3.05
(2.87)
2.98
(3.04)
7.3%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:0
    09.02.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    26.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    20.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:1
    06.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol ✔ 15112230:121835
    2Nacional1586125:111427
    3Montevideo City1583428:171127
    4Boston River1568126:101626
    5Cerro Largo1574419:14525
    6Liverpool M1574419:16325
    7CA Cerro1573513:13024
    8Defensor Sp1572613:16-323
    9Danubio1563618:13521
    10Progreso1553717:23-618
    11Racing Montevideo1545614:22-817
    12Juventud154478:13-516
    13River Plate1535712:18-614
    14Miramar1534817:26-913
    15Plaza Colonia1522119:26-178
    16Wanderers1514107:25-187

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