Result
30/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
40.6% | Draw
31.9% | Peñarol de Montevideo
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.31) |
2.89 ↓
(3.06) |
3.44 ↑
(3.12) |
6.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
23.11.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
09.08.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:0
06.07.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:0
09.02.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
26.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Liverpool M. | Penarol | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bye | Nacional | |
Final
