Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 18
- Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.08 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
70% (237/340) | 70% (244/350) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.21 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
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16 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 3 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 12 |
Passes |
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70% (237/340) | 70% (244/350) |
Long passes |
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44% (31/71) | 36% (33/92) |
Passes in final third |
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57% (78/137) | 56% (53/95) |
Crosses |
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31% (4/13) | 10% (1/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.19 | 0.22 |
Throw-ins |
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34 | 27 |
Fouls |
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12 | 9 |
Tackles |
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47% (7/15) | 100% (12/12) |
Duels won |
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41 | 36 |
Clearances |
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6 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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1 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 0.21 |
Goals prevented |
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0.00 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Nunez M. 🟨,
- 38', Rafinha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Rafinha ⚽,
- 57', Tobar T. 🟥,
- 60', Nunez M. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 63', Anez C. (Pen),
- 64', Rojas J. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 69', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 70', Rodriguez G. ↓, Barco C. ↑,
- 70', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 72', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 78', Azogue P. 🟨,
- 80', Peredo G. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
- 80', Torres S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 80', Azogue P. ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
- 80', Arce Pari J. ↓, Daza Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 88', Rafinha ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 90+4', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mina K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guabirá 48.9% | Draw 25.3% | Nacional Potosí 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guabirá - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (2.18) |
3.68 ↓ (3.95) |
3.56 ↑ (2.62) |
7.5% (9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guabirá - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Guabirá (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 1.
- Guabirá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional Potosí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.
- Guabirá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Nacional Potosí?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Guabirá?
Nacional Potosí has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
14.04.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Guabirá
3:0
24.10.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Guabirá
3:0
26.05.2024
Guabirá
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
25.11.2023
Guabirá
-
Nacional Potosí
6:1
28.05.2023
Nacional Potosí
-
Guabirá
6:0
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation