Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Guabirá - Nacional Potosí
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 18
  • Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.08
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
162
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
70% (237/340)70% (244/350)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.00
Total shots
162
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
61
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
36
Free Kicks
712
Passes
70% (237/340)70% (244/350)
Long passes
44% (31/71)36% (33/92)
Passes in final third
57% (78/137)56% (53/95)
Crosses
31% (4/13)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.22
Throw-ins
3427
Fouls
129
Tackles
47% (7/15)100% (12/12)
Duels won
4136
Clearances
631
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.21
Goals prevented
0.00-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Nunez M. 🟨,
  • 38', Rafinha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Rafinha ,
  • 57', Tobar T. 🟥,
  • 60', Nunez M. , Palacio D. ,
  • 63', Anez C. (Pen),
  • 64', Rojas J. , Alvarez W. ,
  • 69', Palacio D. 🟨,
  • 70', Rodriguez G. , Barco C. ,
  • 70', Thiago Ribeiro , Sanchez H. ,
  • 72', Cuellar J. 🟨,
  • 78', Azogue P. 🟨,
  • 80', Peredo G. , Mina K. ,
  • 80', Torres S. , Pavia L. ,
  • 80', Azogue P. , Zeballos L. ,
  • 80', Arce Pari J. , Daza Gutierrez A. ,
  • 88', Rafinha , Moreno A. ,
  • 90+4', Baldomar O. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Mina K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guabirá
48.9%
Draw
25.3%
Nacional Potosí
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 23.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 22.3% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.
  • Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guabirá - Nacional Potosí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.18)
    3.68
    (3.95)
    3.56
    (2.62)
    7.5%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Guabirá - Nacional Potosí?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Guabirá (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 1.
    • Guabirá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nacional Potosí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.
    • Guabirá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Nacional Potosí - Guabirá 3:0
    24.10.2024 Nacional Potosí - Guabirá 3:0
    26.05.2024 Guabirá - Nacional Potosí 1:1
    25.11.2023 Guabirá - Nacional Potosí 6:1
    28.05.2023 Nacional Potosí - Guabirá 6:0
    Latest results of Guabirá
    Latest results of Nacional Potosí
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1The Strongest18141351:302143
    2Always Ready18124252:213140
    3Bolivar18104443:212234
    4Blooming18104436:28834
    5GV San Jose1882827:31-426
    6Guabira1874732:32025
    7SA Bulo Bulo1866631:28324
    8Independiente1856727:38-1121
    9Nacional Potosi1855825:22320
    10Real Oruro1855828:32-420
    11Universitario de Vinto1855823:32-920
    12Tomayapo1848619:31-1220
    13Oriente Petrolero1854926:37-1119
    14Academia del Balompie1846820:32-1218
    15Wilstermann18141314:40-267
    16Aurora1874732:311-8

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation