Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 18
- Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (237/340) | 70% (244/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (237/340) | 70% (244/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/71) | 36% (33/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (78/137) | 56% (53/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Nunez M. 🟨,
- 38', Rafinha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Rafinha ⚽,
- 57', Tobar T. 🟥,
- 60', Nunez M. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 63', Anez C. (Pen),
- 64', Rojas J. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 69', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 70', Rodriguez G. ↓, Barco C. ↑,
- 70', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 72', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 78', Azogue P. 🟨,
- 80', Peredo G. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
- 80', Torres S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 80', Azogue P. ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
- 80', Arce Pari J. ↓, Daza Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 88', Rafinha ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 90+4', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mina K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guabirá
48.9% | Draw
25.3% | Nacional Potosí
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guabirá - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.18) |
3.68 ↓
(3.95) |
3.56 ↑
(2.62) |
7.5%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guabirá - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Guabirá (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 1.
- Guabirá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional Potosí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.
- Guabirá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Nacional Potosí?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Guabirá?
Nacional Potosí has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
14.04.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Guabirá
3:0
24.10.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Guabirá
3:0
26.05.2024
Guabirá
-
Nacional Potosí
1:1
25.11.2023
Guabirá
-
Nacional Potosí
6:1
28.05.2023
Nacional Potosí
-
Guabirá
6:0
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 43 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 52:32 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 47:21 | 26 | 37 |
| 4 | Blooming | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | SA Bulo Bulo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | GV San Jose | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 26 |
| 7 | Guabira | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | Independiente | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:38 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Universitario de Vinto | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24:32 | -8 | 23 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 22 |
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 19:32 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 8 |
| 16 | Aurora | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
