Nacional Potosí vs GVCD San José – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí).

Division Profesional - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	0.68
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
81% (267/328)	70% (179/257)
Yellow Cards
6	4
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	0.52
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
21	12
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
9	13
Passes
81% (267/328)	70% (179/257)
Long passes
50% (30/60)	39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
70% (86/122)	55% (48/88)
Crosses
16% (6/38)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.37
Throw-ins
16	14
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
83% (15/18)	93% (13/14)
Duels won
43	44
Clearances
12	34
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
0.52	1.92
Goals prevented
-1.48	0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Palacio D. ⚽, Alvarez W. (A),
4', Demiquel L. 🟨,
22', Seimandi A. 🟥,
27', Villamil S. ↓, Landa A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rojas J. ↓, Mansilla A. ↑,
46', Mamani A. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
52', Restrepo E. 🟨,
52', Villamil J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
57', Hoyos D. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Ribera J. ⚽,
60', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
60', Torrico A. 🟨,
70', Hoyos D. ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
71', Ribera J. 🟨,
72', Ribera J. ↓, Serrano L. ↑,
72', Arismendi F. ↓, Roca D. ↑,
81', Demiquel L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
81', Nunez M. ↓, Mancilla D. ↑,
85', Mancilla D. 🟨,
86', Andrada F. ↓, Roca F. ↑,
90', Serrano L. 🟨,
90+7', Ramallo J. 🟨,
90+9', Palacio D. (Pen),
90+11', Mancilla D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nacional Potosí
65.1%

Draw
22.3%

GVCD San José
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Potosí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	5.54 ↑ (3.7)	11.6 ↑ (4.83)	-10.6% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 2 - 50%). GVCD San José will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).
Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
GVCD San José has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
GVCD San José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Nacional Potosí is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against GVCD San José?

Nacional Potosí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has GVCD San José won against Nacional Potosí?

GVCD San José has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José were as follows:

01.06.2025 GVCD San José - Nacional Potosí 1:0

09.12.2024 GVCD San José - Nacional Potosí 2:1

17.08.2024 Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José 2:1

Latest results of Nacional Potosí

20.09.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí 2:5 ✺

13.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 0:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Guabirá - Nacional Potosí 1:0 ✺

Latest results of GVCD San José

21.09.2025 GVCD San José - Blooming 1:4 ✺

17.09.2025 ABB - GVCD San José 0:0 ✺

14.09.2025 GVCD San José - Always Ready 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Oruro - GVCD San José 4:1 ✺

23.08.2025 The Strongest - GVCD San José 2:1 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	22	16	1	5	59:37	22	49
3	Bolivar	21	13	4	4	52:23	29	43
4	Blooming	22	11	4	7	40:36	4	37
5	Guabira	22	10	4	8	45:41	4	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	22	8	6	8	37:43	-6	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
12	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
13	Tomayapo	22	5	8	9	23:37	-14	23
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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