Result
2:5
17/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 20
- Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/342) | 79% (307/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/342) | 79% (307/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 49% (38/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (72/117) | 68% (90/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 63% (10/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.37 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 11', 0 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Torres S. (A),
- 13', 0 - 2, Salinas L. (Own goal),
- 20', Caceres A. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 3, Alvarez W. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Rocabado I. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
- 46', Adrian J. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 3, Caceres A. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
- 55', Guerra S. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 55', Rojas J. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 62', Mustafa S. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 3, Caceres A. (Pen),
- 64', Nunez M. 🟨,
- 64', Corrales R. 🟨,
- 66', Hoyos D. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 4, Palacio D. ⚽, Alvarez W. (A),
- 74', 2 - 5, Palacio D. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 75', Nunez M. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
- 75', Hoyos D. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
- 81', Chavez C. ↓, Delgadillo M. ↑,
- 81', Aliaga A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez L. ↓, Veizaga E. ↑,
- 87', Alvarez W. ↓, Payares M. ↑,
- 89', Restrepo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jorge Wilstermann
18.1% | Draw
24.9% | Nacional Potosí
57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+21.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.93 ↑
(2.39) |
4.73 ↑
(3.53) |
1.91 ↓
(2.55) |
-11.9%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wilstermann will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Nacional Potosí?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Nacional Potosí has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
04.07.2025
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Nacional Potosí
1:3
20.05.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
3:4
27.04.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:2
27.10.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Nacional Potosí
2:2
14.07.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
0:0
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
