Result
1:3
04/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 4
- Referee: Mamani J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (261/318) | 85% (344/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (261/318) | 85% (344/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (23/40) | 61% (47/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (48/76) | 72% (94/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 2.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 33', Torres S. 🟨,
- 34', Andersen L. (Pen),
- 38', 0 - 1, Rojas J. ⚽, Palacio D. (A),
- 43', Montano J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Alvarez W. ⚽, Demiquel L. (A),
- 45+2', Demiquel L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Tellez M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Guillermo A. ↓, Chumacero A. ↑,
- 56', Andersen L. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
- 56', Soto R. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 3, Alvarez W. ⚽, Torres S. (A),
- 64', Aliaga A. ↓, Guillermo A. ↑,
- 64', Montano J. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
- 70', Chumacero A. 🟥,
- 74', Palacio D. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
- 79', Guerra S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 84', Rojas J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 89', Rocabado I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jorge Wilstermann
25.9% | Draw
24.7% | Nacional Potosí
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↑
(2.67) |
3.78 ↑
(3.59) |
1.89 ↓
(2.31) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Nacional Potosí (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nacional Potosí will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Potosí will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
- Wilstermann has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Nacional Potosí?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Nacional Potosí has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
20.05.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
3:4
27.04.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:2
27.10.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Nacional Potosí
2:2
14.07.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
0:0
20.08.2023
Nacional Potosí
-
Jorge Wilstermann
2:1
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
