Result
2:3
14/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (188/254) | 76% (178/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (188/254) | 76% (178/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 54% (36/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 54% (42/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Alvarez W. (Pen),
- 37', 2 - 0, Torres S. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Zeballos S. (Pen),
- 45+2', Ribera C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Demiquel L. ↓, Payares M. ↑,
- 51', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 56', Gomez Saca R. 🟨,
- 57', Ali L. ↓, Vallejos Y. ↑,
- 57', Ribera C. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
- 63', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 68', Guerra S. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 68', Alvarez W. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
- 69', Alessandrini A. 🟨,
- 71', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 75', Zeballos S. ↓, Vila L. ↑,
- 75', Cuellar Orti R. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 76', Hoyos D. 🟨,
- 79', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Vila L. ⚽, Gustavo Oliveira (A),
- 90', Gustavo Oliveira ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
- 90+3', Palacio D. ↓, Torres K. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Fernandez D. ⚽,
- 90+9', Hunacota Terceros R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
59.6% | Draw
22.3% | Real Oruro
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.59) |
4.2 ↑
(3.83) |
4.86 ↓
(5.05) |
7.9%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Real Oruro will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Potosí will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is the team to beat.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Real Oruro?
Nacional Potosí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Nacional Potosí?
Real Oruro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro were as follows:
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 37 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 47:29 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Blooming | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 33:24 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 23 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 27:26 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Guabira | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29:32 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Academia del Balompie | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosi | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:25 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Independiente | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:32 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
