Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 29
- Referee: Gutierrez J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (379/426) | 72% (173/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (379/426) | 72% (173/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (36/55) | 42% (33/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (148/175) | 53% (50/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Hoyos D. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 19', Arce Pari J. 🟥,
- 22', Castedo 🟨,
- 24', Prieto J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Galindo P. (Own goal),
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Nunez M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hoyos D. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
- 46', Rojas J. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
- 46', Alessandrini A. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
- 46', Castedo ↓, Gomez Saca R. ↑,
- 47', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 61', Vaca L. ↓, Vallejos Y. ↑,
- 61', Orihuela R. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 61', Nunez M. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 70', Alvarez W. ↓, Payares M. ↑,
- 78', Torrico A. ↓, Mancilla D. ↑,
- 80', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 87', Vila J. 🟥,
- 88', Guerra J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Baldomar O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Oruro
30.3% | Draw
21.7% | Nacional Potosí
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.15) |
4.2 ↓
(4.26) |
1.93 ↓
(2.7) |
8.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Oruro: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Real Oruro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Real Oruro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Real Oruro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Nacional Potosí?
Real Oruro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Real Oruro?
Nacional Potosí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
26.10.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Real Oruro
0:0
11.10.2025
Real Oruro
-
Nacional Potosí
1:0
14.07.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Real Oruro
2:3
Latest results of Real Oruro
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 91:34 | 57 | 71 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 82:32 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 77:47 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | SA Bulo Bulo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 62:54 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Blooming | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Independiente | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 56:57 | -1 | 45 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 8 | Guabira | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 58:63 | -5 | 43 |
| 9 | GV San Jose | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Tomayapo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 40:53 | -13 | 35 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 45:58 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 60:66 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 33:64 | -31 | 26 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30:71 | -41 | 19 |
| 16 | Aurora | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 53:63 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
