Result
0:1
22/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 15
- Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/329) | 82% (279/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/329) | 82% (279/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 55% (35/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (76/124) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 30% (11/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Corulo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
- 68', Guerra S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 72', Lima R. 🟨,
- 77', Figueroa L. ↓, Mamani K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, Palacio D. ⚽, Azogue P. (A),
- 87', Mansilla A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 87', Castillo J. ↓, Mendez R. ↑,
- 90+2', Palacio D. ↓, Amarilla N. ↑,
- 90+5', Galindo P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Tomayapo
43.7% | Draw
27.4% | Nacional Potosí
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Tomayapo's performance.Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.41) |
3.37 ↑
(3.28) |
3.11 ↑
(2.75) |
8.5%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 1.
- Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tomayapo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against Nacional Potosí?
Real Tomayapo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Real Tomayapo?
Nacional Potosí has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
23.03.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Real Tomayapo
1:1
30.10.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Real Tomayapo
1:0
20.07.2024
Real Tomayapo
-
Nacional Potosí
2:0
12.11.2023
Real Tomayapo
-
Nacional Potosí
0:0
12.05.2023
Nacional Potosí
-
Real Tomayapo
3:1
Latest results of Real Tomayapo
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
