Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 79', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional SP
21% | Draw
28.6% | Penapolense
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional SP's form might have worsened.Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penapolense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penapolense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional SP - Penapolense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.2) |
3.22 ↑
(3.05) |
1.82 ↓
(2.2) |
8.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Nacional SP is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Penapolense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Penapolense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional SP won against Penapolense?
Nacional SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penapolense won against Nacional SP?
Penapolense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional SP - Penapolense were as follows:
19.02.2025
Penapolense
-
Nacional SP
0:3
03.02.2024
Nacional SP
-
Penapolense
1:1
Latest results of Nacional SP
Latest results of Penapolense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro (1) | Lemense (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao-Carlense (4) | Barretos EC (5) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano (2) | Jacarei FC (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Penapolense (3) | Taquaritinga (6) | 1 : 1 |
