Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 79', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional SP
21% | Draw
28.6% | Penapolense
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional SP's form might have worsened.Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penapolense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penapolense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional SP - Penapolense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.2) |
3.22 ↑
(3.05) |
1.82 ↓
(2.2) |
8.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Nacional SP is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Penapolense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Penapolense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional SP won against Penapolense?
Nacional SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penapolense won against Nacional SP?
Penapolense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional SP - Penapolense were as follows:
19.02.2025
Penapolense
-
Nacional SP
0:3
03.02.2024
Nacional SP
-
Penapolense
1:1
Latest results of Nacional SP
Latest results of Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Barretos EC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Lemense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Sao-Carlense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Jacarei FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tanabi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | ECUS SP | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Comercial | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Vocem | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | AEA Aracatuba | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:24 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
