Penapolense vs Nacional SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Penapolense - Nacional SP
Result
0:3
19/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Ronaldy ,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Nicollas ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 3, Gustavo Indio (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Penapolense
45.1%
Draw
29.9%
Nacional SP
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 31.4% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 31.4% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penapolense's performance.
  • Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penapolense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Penapolense - Nacional SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.4)
    3.06
    (2.95)
    3.68
    (3.1)
    9.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Penapolense - Nacional SP?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional SP will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Penapolense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Penapolense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penapolense - Nacional SP were as follows:
    03.02.2024 Nacional SP - Penapolense 1:1
    Latest results of Penapolense
    Latest results of Nacional SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0