Sagamihara vs Nagano Parceiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro
Result
2:1
06/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
126
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Koga S. 🟨,
  • 25', Sakai S. 🟨,
  • 40', Tomita K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Nishikubo S. , Kawano R. (A),
  • 56', Murakami Y. , Fujikawa K. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Shin K. ,
  • 70', Kutsuna K. , Fujimori R. ,
  • 70', Shin K. , Ukita K. ,
  • 72', Kawano R. , Takano R. ,
  • 72', Sugimoto R. , Fukui K. ,
  • 72', Rafael Furtado , Takagi A. ,
  • 81', Nakayama R. , Muto Y. ,
  • 84', Hasegawa Y. , Lim Ji-hoon ,
  • 84', Yamanaka R. , Sanda N. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Takano R. ,
  • 89', Tokunaga Y. , Takusari Y. ,

Chances of winning


Sagamihara
44.5%
Draw
28.7%
Nagano Parceiro
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.06)
    3.18
    (3.3)
    3.4
    (3.24)
    9.5%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sagamihara will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0.
    • Sagamihara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nagano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sagamihara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara 1:1
    31.08.2024 Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro 1:1
    09.03.2024 Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara 1:1
    29.07.2023 Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara 1:0
    15.04.2023 Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro 0:1
    Latest results of Sagamihara
    Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure29186536:171960
    2Tochigi City29176648:311757
    3Kagoshima Utd29159556:292754
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki29148742:34850
    5Osaka29147839:271249
    6Nara Club29129839:33645
    7Tochigi SC291271031:28343
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu291241330:29140
    9Kanazawa281151233:34-138
    10Fukushima Utd291081148:59-1138
    11Sagamihara299101029:39-1037
    12Yamaga28991031:32-136
    13Gainare Tottori291061328:32-436
    14Gifu29981236:41-535
    15Ryukyu29971331:38-734
    16Kochi United29971337:50-1334
    17Nagano29781425:39-1429
    18Kusatsu296101338:46-828
    19Kamatamare29771534:42-828
    20Azul Claro Numazu29491631:42-1121

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