Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Shield Cup Nairobi United - Mara Sugar
Result
2:1 penalties
01/06/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FKF Mozzart Bet Cup - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, ,
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Nairobi United
34.4%
Draw
33%
Mara Sugar
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 31.5% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 31.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Nairobi United - Mara Sugar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.56)
    2.78
    (2.86)
    2.8
    (2.71)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Nairobi United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mara Sugar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nairobi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - Mara Sugar were as follows:
    02.06.2024 Mara Sugar - Nairobi United 1:0
    16.12.2023 Nairobi United - Mara Sugar 0:2
    Latest results of Nairobi United
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    21.05.2025 Compel - Mara Sugar 0:2
    18.05.2025 Shabana - Mara Sugar 0:1
    14.05.2025 Mara Sugar - Bandari 0:0
    04.05.2025 Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars 1:1