Result
Postponed
09/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Chances of winning
Nairobi United
39.8% | Draw
31.2% | Mara Sugar
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nairobi United - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.31) |
2.9 ↓
(2.92) |
3.13 ↓
(3.16) |
10.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).
- Nairobi United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mara Sugar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nairobi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of away games.
- Nairobi United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nairobi United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi United won against Mara Sugar?
Nairobi United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Nairobi United?
Mara Sugar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - Mara Sugar were as follows:
01.10.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Nairobi United
0:1
01.06.2025
Nairobi United
-
Mara Sugar
2:1
02.06.2024
Mara Sugar
-
Nairobi United
1:0
16.12.2023
Nairobi United
-
Mara Sugar
0:2
Latest results of Nairobi United
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Leopards | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23:11 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Shabana | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 4 | Muranga | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Police FC | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | KCB | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Tusker | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 28 |
| 9 | Bandari | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 24 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 12:17 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | Mara Sugar | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11:18 | -7 | 16 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12:23 | -11 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
